Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Agoncillo		Autol

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.9	6.3
	1.44	4.22	6.51
	1.42	3.92	7.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.43)	4.01 ↑ (3.89)	6.62 ↓ (6.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Agoncillo
63.6%

Draw
22.7%

Autol
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

23.3%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

17.4%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Autol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agoncillo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Autol than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Agoncillo - Autol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Ranera A. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Hamoudi N. ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, ⚽,
35', 3 - 1, Ranera A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Agoncillo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Autol is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Autol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Agoncillo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Agoncillo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
08.11.25	Berceo - Agoncillo	1:6 ✺
01.11.25	Agoncillo - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Oyonesa - Agoncillo	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Anguiano - Agoncillo	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Agoncillo - Haro Deportivo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTLLT
- CD Autol
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
02.11.25	Calahorra - Autol	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Autol - Comillas	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Vianés - Autol	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Autol - Arnedo	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Autol - La Calzada	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.10.18	Autol - Agoncillo	0:1

Agoncillo - Autol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide