Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 18

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Agoncillo		Náxara

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	2.88	2.95	2.16
	3.3	2.9	2.08
	3.27	3.04	2.07
	3.44	3.02	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.34)	3 ↑ (3)	2.11 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agoncillo
28.1%

Draw
29.7%

Náxara
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

27.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agoncillo's form might have worsened.

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náxara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agoncillo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náxara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Agoncillo - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs)).

Agoncillo in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Náxara is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Agoncillo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Agoncillo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.01.23	Calahorra B - Agoncillo	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Agoncillo - Comillas	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Agoncillo - Oyonesa	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Vianés - Agoncillo	0:2 ✺
11.12.22	Agoncillo - Yagüe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWW
- Náxara CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.01.23	Náxara - Peña Balsamaiso	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Casalarreina - Náxara	1:4 ✺
08.01.23	Náxara - Varea	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	Calahorra B - Náxara	3:3 ✺
07.12.22	Náxara - Comillas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
25.09.22	Náxara - Agoncillo	1:0

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