Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 16

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Casalarreina		Náxara

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	1.95
	3.2	3.15	1.92
	3.35	3.25	1.91
	3.24	3.18	1.88
	3.44	3.3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.24)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	1.93 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casalarreina
26.8%

Draw
27.4%

Náxara
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

27.2%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

27.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casalarreina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Náxara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Casalarreina aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Casalarreina - Náxara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs)).

Casalarreina in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Náxara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casalarreina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Náxara will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Casalarreina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Casalarreina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casalarreina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.01.23	Casalarreina - Calahorra B	2:1 ✺
17.12.22	Comillas - Casalarreina	0:2 ✺
08.12.22	Casalarreina - Oyonesa	3:3 ✺
04.12.22	Vianés - Casalarreina	1:3 ✺
27.11.22	Casalarreina - Yagüe	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWTWW
- Náxara CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
08.01.23	Náxara - Varea	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	Calahorra B - Náxara	3:3 ✺
07.12.22	Náxara - Comillas	3:0 ✺
04.12.22	Oyonesa - Náxara	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Náxara - Vianés	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
21.03.21	Casalarreina - Náxara	2:2
20.12.20	Náxara - Casalarreina	2:1
15.12.19	Casalarreina - Náxara	3:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
01.10.17	Náxara - Casalarreina	7:1

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