Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Agoncillo		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	11.84	5.83	1.21	Watch
	7.2	4.5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.52 ↑ (6.8)	5.17 ↑ (4.5)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agoncillo
9.8%

Draw
18%

UD Logroñés Promesas
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

20.3%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

19.7%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

UD Logroñés Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UD Logroñés Promesas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Fernandez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Agoncillo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

UD L Promesas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, UD L Promesas has had a series of home games.

In this match, UD L Promesas is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Agoncillo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Agoncillo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.10.25	Oyonesa - Agoncillo	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Anguiano - Agoncillo	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Agoncillo - Haro Deportivo	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Agoncillo - Yagüe	2:3 ✺
19.09.25	Villegas - Agoncillo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTLT
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.10.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Villegas	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Comillas	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arnedo	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - La Calzada	4:1 ✺
07.09.25	Varea - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
16.04.25	UD Logroñés Promesas - Agoncillo	3:0
06.12.24	Agoncillo - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:3
13.01.19	UD Logroñés Promesas - Agoncillo	2:0

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