Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday


	Agudat Sport Ashdod		Ironi Tiberias

	1	X	2
	7.25	4.6	1.32
	7.4	4.6	1.32
	6.93	4.67	1.36
	7.7	4.75	1.34	Watch
	7.6	4.8	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.38 ↑ (3.85)	4.68 ↑ (3.42)	1.33 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agudat Sport Ashdod
12.3%

Draw
19.4%

Ironi Tiberias
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26.5%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

25.8%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agudat Sport Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agudat Sport Ashdod's form might have worsened.

Ironi Tiberias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ironi Tiberias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agudat Sport Ashdod than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agudat Sport Ashdod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Tiberias than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ironi Tiberias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Agudat Sport Ashdod - Ironi Tiberias Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. AS Ashdod will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Ironi Tiberias will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ironi Tiberias: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group)).

Agudat Sport Ashdod is Leumit League (Relegation Group)

Ironi Tiberias is Qualified for Leumit League (Promotion Group)

Agudat Sport Ashdod has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ironi Tiberias is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ironi Tiberias is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Agudat Sport Ashdod won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Agudat Sport Ashdod won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agudat Sport Ashdod
Israeli Liga Leumit
06.03.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Agudat Sport Ashdod	3:0 ✺
24.02.23	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Acre	1:4 ✺
20.02.23	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Bnei Yehuda	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:1 ✺
10.02.23	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Maccabi Jaffa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLTL
- Ironi Tiberias
Israeli Liga Leumit
03.03.23	Ironi Tiberias - Bnei Yehuda	4:2 ✺
24.02.23	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Ironi Tiberias	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Tiberias	2:2 ✺
17.02.23	Ironi Tiberias - Maccabi Jaffa	2:0 ✺
14.02.23	Kafr Qasim - Ironi Tiberias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
11.12.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Ironi Tiberias	1:2
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.12.22	Ironi Tiberias - Agudat Sport Ashdod	4:1

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