Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday


	Hapoel Afula		Ironi Tiberias

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.3	1.98
	3.3	3.4	2	Watch
	3.45	3.43	2.01
	3.38	3.44	1.94	Watch
	3.35	3.4	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.26)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	1.98 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Afula
27.3%

Draw
26.8%

Ironi Tiberias
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

26.4%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

25.6%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ironi Tiberias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Tiberias than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Hapoel Afula - Ironi Tiberias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Hapoel Afula is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ironi Tiberias is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ironi Tiberias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ironi Tiberias will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hapoel Afula won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Afula won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
21.09.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Afula	4:0 ✺
18.09.23	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	1:1 ✺
07.09.23	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Afula	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Hapoel Afula - Ihud Bnei Shfaram	1:3 ✺
24.08.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Afula	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLL
- Ironi Tiberias
Israeli Liga Leumit
21.09.23	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:1 ✺
14.09.23	Bnei Yehuda - Ironi Tiberias	4:1 ✺
07.09.23	Ironi Tiberias - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:2 ✺
31.08.23	Hapoel Acre - Ironi Tiberias	1:1 ✺
24.08.23	Ironi Tiberias - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
21.02.23	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Tiberias	2:2
07.10.22	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Afula	5:1
06.02.15	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Afula	0:0
27.10.14	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Tiberias	3:0

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