The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aimoré 39.7%
Draw 32%
Náutico Marcílio Dias 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
33%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
32.8%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aimoré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aimoré's performance.
Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Marcílio Dias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aimoré that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Marcílio Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Aimoré is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Marcílio Dias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Aimoré won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Aimoré won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.