Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Aimoré		Náutico Marcílio Dias

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.24	2.75	3.15
	2.29	2.69	3.3
	2.25	2.75	3.1
	2.29	2.98	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (3.23)	2.81 ↑ (2.71)	3.17 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aimoré
39.7%

Draw
32%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.7%

33%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

32.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aimoré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aimoré's performance.

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Náutico Marcílio Dias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aimoré that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Náutico Marcílio Dias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Aimoré is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marcílio Dias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aimoré won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aimoré won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Aimoré
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
12.03.22	Aimoré - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	Internacional RS - Aimoré	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Novo Hamburgo - Aimoré	2:1 ✺
21.02.22	Aimoré - Juventude	1:1 ✺
17.02.22	Ypiranga - Aimoré	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLTL
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
19.03.22	Camboriú - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:2 ✺
12.03.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Camboriú	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Chapecoense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:2 ✺
27.02.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina	4:2 ✺
23.02.22	Camboriú - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.09.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Aimoré	3:2
06.06.21	Aimoré - Náutico Marcílio Dias	4:1

Aimoré - Náutico Marcílio Dias

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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