Match Info

GREECE: Super League 2 - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 29 April 2024, Monday


	Aiolikos		PAOK B

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.44
	5.5	4.2	1.5
	5	4	1.49
	4.99	3.79	1.48
	5.81	4.11	1.5
	6.2	4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.54 ↑ (3.83)	4.02 ↑ (3.22)	1.48 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aiolikos
16.3%

Draw
22.5%

PAOK B
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

28.8%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

27.9%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aiolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aiolikos's form might have worsened.

PAOK B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aiolikos than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aiolikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK B than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Aiolikos - PAOK B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aiolikos will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). PAOK B will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK B: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Zakaric G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 1 - 1, Sapovalov A. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Kanis H. (Pen),

Preview

Aiolikos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches PAOK B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

PAOK B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PAOK B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aiolikos won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aiolikos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aiolikos FC
Greek Super League 2
22.04.24	Iraklis - Aiolikos	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Aiolikos - Kozani	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Aiolikos - Anagennisi Karditsa	0:1 ✺
03.04.24	Kampaniakos - Aiolikos	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	PAOK B - Aiolikos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLWL
- PAOK B
Greek Super League 2
21.04.24	PAOK B - Kampaniakos	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	PAOK B - Anagennisi Karditsa	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Kampaniakos - PAOK B	4:2 ✺
07.04.24	Iraklis - PAOK B	2:1 ✺
03.04.24	PAOK B - Kozani	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
30.03.24	PAOK B - Aiolikos	2:1
21.01.24	Aiolikos - PAOK B	2:2
21.10.23	PAOK B - Aiolikos	0:0

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