Match Info

GREECE: Super League 2 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday


	PAOK B		Kozani

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.62	3.6	5.5
	1.62	3.5	5.89
	1.63	3.47	5.89
	1.62	3.38	5.47
	1.57	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.78)	3.48 ↑ (3.15)	5.57 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK B
57.1%

Draw
26.4%

Kozani
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.4%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

28.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PAOK B's performance.

Kozani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK B than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAOK B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kozani than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Kallergis M. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Gkoumas K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', 2 - 1, Sapovalov A. ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Darelas A. ⚽,
64', 3 - 2, Pantekidis F. (Own goal),
66', 4 - 2, Bradonjic V. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kozani could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently PAOK B have a series of home games.

In this match PAOK B is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches PAOK B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams PAOK B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK B
Greek Super League 2
30.03.24	PAOK B - Aiolikos	2:1 ✺
11.03.24	PAOK B - Niki Volos	4:0 ✺
04.03.24	Levadiakos - PAOK B	3:1 ✺
29.02.24	PAOK B - Kozani	1:0 ✺
21.02.24	PAOK B - AEL Larissa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWL
- Kozani FC
Greek Super League 2
30.03.24	Iraklis - Kozani	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Kozani - Anagennisi Karditsa	1:0 ✺
04.03.24	Kozani - Iraklis	1:0 ✺
29.02.24	PAOK B - Kozani	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Kozani - AEK B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
29.02.24	PAOK B - Kozani	1:0
29.11.23	Kozani - PAOK B	0:1

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