The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Airdrieonians 40.5%
Draw 27.8%
Alloa Athletic 31.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
27.7%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
28%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Airdrieonians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Airdrieonians - Alloa Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sneddon J. (G) 5. Fisher S. 31. Gallagher D. 4. Ross C. 2. MacDonald D. 16. Smith 15. McKinnon C. (C) 27. Gibson L. 10. Yates M. 22. Burnside C. 18. McLeish L.
1. Stewart R. (G) 24. Foster O. 2. Taggart S. (C) 5. McGrath J. 20. O'Donnell C. 6. Marchant G. 4. Hetherington S. 12. Scougall S. 18. Forbes B. 10. Rankin L. 7. Glasgow K.
Substitutes
21. Adams R. (G) 12. Boateng K. 11. Bridge A. 8. Gallagher G. . Gentles 29. Iserhienrhien D. 9. Mebude D. 6. Simpson E. 33. Taylor K.
17. Cameron M. . Crilly 16. Ellison J. . Graham 31. Green L. (G) 14. McCafferty F. 8. Roberts K. . Ross 15. Walker J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, McLeish L. ⚽, Gibson L. (A),
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Fisher S. 🟨,
52', O'Donnell C. 🟨,
62', Marchant G. ↓, Ross L. ↑,
69', McLeish L. ↓, Mebude D. ↑,
69', Burnside C. ↓, Gallagher G. ↑,
77', Hetherington S. 🟨,
79', Hetherington S. ↓, Roberts K. ↑,
79', Rankin L. ↓, Cameron M. ↑,
79', Glasgow K. ↓, Crilly A. ↑,
81', Fisher S. ↓, Boateng K. ↑,
81', Yates M. ↓, Gentles J. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 2.
Airdrieonians has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Alloa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Airdrieonians has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Airdrieonians won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Airdrieonians won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).