Match Info

League One - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Palmerston Park (Dumfries)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	WASP TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Queen of the South		Alloa Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.5
	2.45	3.20	2.50
	2.55	3.15	2.55
	2.58	3.3	2.6
	2.59	3.37	2.59	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.53	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.57)	3.21 ↓ (3.34)	2.54 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
35.9%

Draw
28.3%

Alloa Athletic
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

27.6%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Alloa Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Queen of the South aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Queen of the South will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mehmet D. (G) 2. Goldie C. 17. Ellis R. 4. Stott J. (C) 3. Charters T. 8. MacKenzie Z. 15. Rogerson N. 7. Smith L. 10. Clark N. 11. Dair B. 16. Coughlin C.	1. Stewart R. (G) 24. Foster O. 2. Taggart S. (C) 23. Devine D. 20. O'Donnell C. 6. Marchant G. 4. Hetherington S. 7. Glasgow K. 9. Donnelly L. 15. Walker J. 10. Rankin L.
Substitutes
18. Davis A. 25. Gray B. 14. Johnstone B. 19. Luissint B. 5. McQueen C. 26. Morton B. 34. Petry S. (G) 29. Thomson J. 32. Trialist A	19. Buchanan S. 17. Cameron M. 16. Ellison J. 27. Farquhar J. 18. Forbes B. 31. Green L. (G) 14. McCafferty F. 5. McGrath J. 8. Roberts K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Clark N. 🟨,
35', Smith L. 🟨,
42', Foster O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Walker J. ⚽, Glasgow K. (A),
55', 0 - 2, Glasgow K. ⚽,
57', Dair B. ↓, Johnstone B. ↑,
57', Goldie C. ↓, Davis A. ↑,
68', Donnelly L. ↓, Roberts K. ↑,
68', Walker J. ↓, Forbes B. ↑,
77', Glasgow K. ↓, Farquhar J. ↑,
86', MacKenzie Z. ↓, Gray B. ↑,
86', Rankin L. ↓, Cameron M. ↑,
86', Marchant G. ↓, McGrath J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 4.

Queen of the South is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alloa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alloa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:29. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Queen of the South won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Alloa: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alloa	9	2	3	4	9:10	-1	9
9	Queen of South	9	2	1	6	10:27	-17	7

Last Results with these Odds

Queen of the South - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.16%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Alloa Athletic - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.02%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Queen of the South - Cumbernauld Colts	4:0 ✺
Scottish League One
08.08.26	Queen of the South - Peterhead	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	East Kilbride - Queen of the South	5:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Queens Park - Queen of the South	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Queen of the South - Aberdeen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
15.08.26	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	3:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.08.26	Alloa Athletic - Stranraer	2:1 ✺
Scottish League One
08.08.26	Hamilton Academical - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Alloa Athletic - East Fife	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Ayr United - Alloa Athletic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
02.05.26	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	1:4
14.02.26	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	1:2
13.12.25	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	0:2
04.10.25	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	1:0
15.03.25	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	3:2
11.01.25	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	1:1
09.11.24	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	1:1

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