Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Ajka Sportcentrum (Ajka)


	Ajka		Dorogi

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.6	3.85	4.7
	1.65	3.75	4.2
	1.72	3.63	4.62
	1.66	3.72	4.4	Watch
	1.68	3.9	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.89)	3.74 ↑ (3.45)	4.42 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
55%

Draw
24.4%

Dorogi
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

24.9%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajka's performance.

Dorogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorogi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ajka - Dorogi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajka will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajka won 3.

Recent matches Ajka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dorogi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ajka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ajka won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
13.11.22	Szentlőrinc - Ajka	2:3 ✺
09.11.22	Ajka - MTK Budapest	2:3 ✺
06.11.22	Gyirmót - Ajka	1:3 ✺
30.10.22	Ajka - Kazincbarcikai	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Pecsi - Ajka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWTL
- Dorogi FC
Hungarian NB II
13.11.22	Dorogi - Tiszakécske	4:2 ✺
09.11.22	Soroksár - Dorogi	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Dorogi - Siofok	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Szombathelyi Haladas - Dorogi	4:3 ✺
22.10.22	Dorogi - Győri ETO	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.22	Ajka - Dorogi	0:1
Hungarian NB II
03.04.22	Ajka - Dorogi	3:0
03.10.21	Dorogi - Ajka	0:0
09.05.21	Dorogi - Ajka	0:1
25.11.20	Ajka - Dorogi	2:0
Club Friendly
26.07.20	Dorogi - Ajka	1:1
Hungarian NB II
10.11.19	Ajka - Dorogi	0:0

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