Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 28

Date: 26 February 2024, Monday


	Akragas		Real Casalnuovo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.29	2.96	3.04
	2.15	3.1	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.61)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	3.04 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akragas
40.4%

Draw
29.7%

Real Casalnuovo
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.3%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

28.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akragas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akragas's performance.

Real Casalnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Casalnuovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akragas than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Casalnuovo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Casalnuovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Akragas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Real Casalnuovo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akragas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Akragas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Akragas Città dei Templi
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.02.24	Vibonese - Akragas	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	Akragas - Castrovillari	5:1 ✺
28.01.24	Trapani - Akragas	4:1 ✺
21.01.24	Akragas - Ragusa	0:2 ✺
17.01.24	Città di SantAgata - Akragas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLT
- Real Casalnuovo
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.02.24	Real Casalnuovo - Vibonese	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Castrovillari - Real Casalnuovo	0:2 ✺
31.01.24	Real Casalnuovo - Trapani	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Ragusa - Real Casalnuovo	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Real Casalnuovo - Città di SantAgata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
22.10.23	Real Casalnuovo - Akragas	3:2

Akragas - Real Casalnuovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide