Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 26

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Razza (Vibo Valentia)


	Vibonese		Akragas

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.45	4.01	5.46
	1.4	4	5.5
	1.46	4.69	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.69)	4.15 ↑ (3.6)	5.83 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vibonese
62.7%

Draw
21.8%

Akragas
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.8%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vibonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vibonese's performance.

Akragas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akragas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vibonese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akragas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akragas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vibonese - Akragas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Vibonese is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Akragas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akragas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vibonese is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vibonese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Vibonese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
28.01.24	Castrovillari - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Vibonese - Trapani	2:5 ✺
17.01.24	Ragusa - Vibonese	2:3 ✺
13.01.24	Vibonese - Città di SantAgata	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Gioiese - Vibonese	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWWW
- USD Akragas Città dei Templi
Italian Serie D - Group I
31.01.24	Akragas - Castrovillari	5:1 ✺
28.01.24	Trapani - Akragas	4:1 ✺
21.01.24	Akragas - Ragusa	0:2 ✺
17.01.24	Città di SantAgata - Akragas	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Akragas - Gioiese	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
22.12.16	Vibonese - Akragas	0:1
28.08.16	Akragas - Vibonese	1:1

Vibonese - Akragas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide