Match Info

Besta deild karla - Championship Group - Round 5

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Akranesvöllur (Akranes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Robertsson G. F. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 5
International	14:00	OneFootball TV


	Akraness		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.60	4.80	3.80
	1.55	4.40	4.00	Watch
	1.61	5.01	4.48
	1.59	4.91	4.56	Watch
	1.53	4.95	4.40
	1.55	4.90	4.37
	1.56	5.00	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)	4.85 ↑ (4.66)	4.26 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akraness
59.1%

Draw
19.1%

Keflavík
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

20.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

20%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Akraness - Keflavík Predictions

Users Predictions: Akraness will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Akraness will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. M. (G) 27. Atlason B. 16. Sigurjonsson R. (C) 5. Berndsen B. 3. Vall J. 17. Unnarsson G. 87. Ellertsson S. 7. Haraldsson H. 11. Eyjolfsson G. 9. Jonsson V. 25. Ellertsson M. P.	1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 2. Bwomono E. 20. Brigic M. 47. Karlsson E. 42. Brynjarsson B. L. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 23. Ragnarsson E. 7. Valsson D. 21. Conteh A. 10. Ljubicic S.
Substitutes
21. Bodvarsson B. 31. Eidem I. (G) 66. Gislason J. G. E. 20. Gudjonsson I. 44. Saevarsson G. 22. Stefansson O. 8. Thorarinsson G. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 18. Thrastarson R.	15. Adalbjorssnos A. 30. Danielsson R. (G) 25. Elvarsson F. 4. Heras N. 26. Holmarsson R. 22. Magnusson A. 77. Rajakovac M. 88. Simicic M. 28. Traustason V. A.
Coaches
Sigurdsson L.	Gudmundsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Ellertsson M. P. ⚽, Unnarsson G. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Conteh A. ⚽, Johannesson A. (A),
22', 2 - 1, Unnarsson G. ⚽, Jonsson V. (A),
36', Unnarsson G. ↓, Stefansson O. ↑,
37', 3 - 1, Ellertsson S. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 2, Ragnarsson E. ⚽, Johannesson A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Valsson D. ↓, Elvarsson F. ↑,
48', 3 - 3, Conteh A. ⚽, Ragnarsson E. (A),
56', 3 - 4, Johannesson A. ⚽, Ragnarsson E. (A),
60', Haraldsson H. ↓, Thorarinsson G. ↑,
60', Sigurjonsson R. ↓, Bodvarsson B. ↑,
69', Karlsson E. ↓, Magnusson A. ↑,
72', Brynjarsson B. L. 🟨,
74', 4 - 4, Eyjolfsson G. ⚽, Ellertsson M. P. (A),
75', Brynjarsson B. L. ↓, Traustason V. A. ↑,
75', Magnusson S. ↓, Simicic M. ↑,
81', Ellertsson S. ↓, Gudjonsson I. ↑,
81', Vall J. ↓, Gislason J. G. E. ↑,
83', Ljubicic S. ↓, Adalbjorssnos A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 0.

Akraness has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Keflavík is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Akraness is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Akraness has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:35 (averaging 1.9:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Akraness against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 15:12 goals (averaging 2.1:1.7 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Akranes	27	10	8	9	54:55	-1	38
6	Keflavik	27	8	6	13	43:54	-11	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
19.10.26	Fram - Akraness	2:4 ✺
11.10.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Akraness	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Akraness - Breiðablik	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	KR Reykjavík - Akraness	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Akraness - KR Reykjavík	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WTWLW
- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.10.26	Keflavík - KR Reykjavík	2:3 ✺
11.10.26	Breiðablik - Keflavík	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Keflavík - Fram	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keflavík - Valur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.07.26	Keflavík - Akraness	5:2
08.05.26	Akraness - Keflavík	1:3
Icelandic Cup
16.05.24	Keflavík - Akraness	3:1
19.04.23	Keflavík - Akraness	1:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
02.10.22	Keflavík - Akraness	3:2
28.08.22	Keflavík - Akraness	0:1
29.05.22	Akraness - Keflavík	0:2

Akraness - Keflavík