Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 22

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	OneFootball TV


	Keflavík		Valur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.80	2.65
	2.22	3.8	2.62	Watch
	2.29	4.18	2.8
	2.24	4.08	2.77	Watch
	2.2	3.8	2.7
	2.23	3.82	2.75	Watch
	2.24	3.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.29)	3.91 ↑ (3.68)	2.71 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
41.8%

Draw
23.8%

Valur
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

24.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

24%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Keflavík - Valur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 4. Heras N. 20. Brigic M. 22. Magnusson A. 7. Valsson D. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 23. Ragnarsson E. 11. Al Ghoul M. 21. Conteh A. 10. Ljubicic S.	1. Schram F. (G) 21. Palsson J. 4. Nakkim M. 17. Heimisson L. 3. Gunnarsson H. 10. Jonsson J. (C) 5. Arnarsson K. 7. Fridjonsson S. 12. Haraldsson T. 19. Gardarson D. 9. Pedersen P.
Substitutes
28. Amrouni Y. 2. Bwomono E. 30. Danielsson R. (G) 27. Davidsson H. 25. Elvarsson F. 77. Haraldsson E. G. 14. Mudrazija M. 16. Simicic M. 26. Sveinsson V.	25. Agustsson S. (G) 27. Eiriksson P. 20. Omarsson O. 95. Petersson T. (G) 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 11. Stole I. 24. Veldman M. 29. Veseli S.
Coaches
Gudmundsson H.	Brazell C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Palsson J. ↓, Stole I. ↑,
29', Fridjonsson S. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Jonsson J. ⚽, Gardarson D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Gardarson D. ⚽, Haraldsson T. (A),
64', Conteh A. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
64', Pedersen P. ↓, Veldman M. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Mudrazija M. ⚽,
79', Valsson D. ↓, Simicic M. ↑,
89', Gardarson D. ↓, Omarsson O. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Valur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Keflavík could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:36. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Last Results with these Odds

Keflavík - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.5%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
30.08.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Keflavík	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Stjarnan - Keflavík	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW
- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
30.08.26	Valur - Akraness	2:2 ✺
17.08.26	Valur - KA Akureyri	4:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Nordsjælland - Valur	5:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
09.08.26	Breiðablik - Valur	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Valur - Nordsjælland	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.06.26	Valur - Keflavík	1:1
Icelandic Cup
09.06.24	Keflavík - Valur	3:4 penalties
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.08.23	Keflavík - Valur	1:1
21.05.23	Valur - Keflavík	0:0
11.07.22	Valur - Keflavík	0:3
24.04.22	Keflavík - Valur	0:1
15.08.21	Valur - Keflavík	2:1

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