Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 18

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Akranesvöllur (Akranes)

Referee: Haflidason Oddur G. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Akraness		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.75	5.00
	1.49	4.85	4.95	Watch
	1.53	4.94	5.39
	1.48	4.95	5.77	Watch
	1.49	4.85	5.15
	1.57	4.54	4.71	Watch
	1.49	4.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	4.81 ↓ (4.91)	5.14 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akraness
62.3%

Draw
19.5%

Thor Akureyri
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

19.2%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

18.7%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akraness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Akraness - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Akraness will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Thor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Akraness (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Akraness (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Akraness (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. M. (G) 87. Ellertsson S. 13. Sandberg E. T. 5. Berndsen B. 21. Bodvarsson B. (C) 17. Unnarsson G. 8. Thorarinsson G. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 7. Haraldsson H. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 9. Jonsson V.	1. Stefansson A. (C) 6. Gudbrandsson G. 5. Affi Y. 2. Arnarsson A. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 23. Vazquez K. 9. Bertomeu V. 8. Halldorsson E. 22. Hlynsson A. 17. Gislason F. 25. Jakobsen C.
Substitutes
66. Gislason J. G. E. 20. Gudjonsson I. 26. Gunnarsson M. 44. Saevarsson G. 37. Simonarson J. S. (G) 22. Stefansson O. 18. Thrastarson R. 3. Vall J. 35. Zumbergs A.	31. Fridriksson K. 37. Gunnarsson S. 3. Hlynsson B. 35. Ingolfsson T. 15. Kristjansson K. 28. Lalic F. (G) 10. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 4. Runarsson H.
Coaches
Sigurdsson L.	Hoskuldsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Thorarinsson G. ↓, Gislason J. G. E. ↑,
7', Hlynsson B. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Jonsson V. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Gislason J. G. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Halldorsson E. ↓, Ottosson V. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Sandberg E. T. ⚽,
63', Thorsteinsson S. ↓, Gudjonsson I. ↑,
63', Unnarsson G. ↓, Stefansson O. ↑,
64', Thorsteinsson S. 🟨,
66', Gislason F. ↓, Ingolfsson T. ↑,
66', Bertomeu V. ↓, Kristjansson K. ↑,
71', Gudjonsson I. 🟨,
82', Hlynsson A. ↓, Gunnarsson S. ↑,
82', Vazquez K. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
84', Ellertsson M. P. ↓, Vall J. ↑,
87', Ellertsson S. 🟨,
89', Ottosson V. 🟨,
90+4', Stefansson O. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 4.

Akraness has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Thor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Akraness is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:11. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Akraness won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 3:0.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Akranes	24	9	6	9	44:47	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
02.08.26	Akraness - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Akraness - Stjarnan	5:1 ✺
20.07.26	Keflavík - Akraness	5:2 ✺
12.07.26	KA Akureyri - Akraness	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Akraness - Breiðablik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLL
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
04.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Breiðablik	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	KA Akureyri - Thor Akureyri	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Thor Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Fram - Thor Akureyri	6:1 ✺
02.07.26	Thor Akureyri - KR Reykjavík	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 51.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Akraness	1:2
Icelandic League Cup
07.02.26	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	1:1
Icelandic Division 1
02.09.23	Thor Akureyri - Akraness	2:3
29.06.23	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	4:0
Icelandic League Cup
12.02.22	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	3:1
01.03.19	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	4:1
Icelandic Division 1
27.07.18	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	5:0

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