Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 15

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 2, SÝN Sport Ísland 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Keflavík		Akraness

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.60	2.55
	2.18	3.7	2.82	Watch
	2.14	3.82	3.1
	2.24	4.08	2.77	Watch
	2.13	3.7	3.05
	2.13	3.9	2.91	Watch
	2.19	3.7	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.35)	3.79 ↑ (3.68)	2.86 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
42.7%

Draw
24.7%

Akraness
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

24.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Akraness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	6.7%	33.3%

Keflavík - Akraness Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Keflavík will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Akraness will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keflavík: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Keflavík (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Keflavík (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Magnusson A. (G) 22. Magnusson A. 4. Heras N. 20. Brigic M. 13. Kralj A. 8. Baxter B. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 23. Ragnarsson E. 11. Al Ghoul M. 21. Conteh A. 10. Ljubicic S.	37. Simonarson J. S. (G) 87. Ellertsson S. 13. Sandberg E. T. 16. Sigurjonsson R. (C) 21. Bodvarsson B. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 8. Thorarinsson G. 66. Gislason J. G. E. 11. Eyjolfsson G. 22. Stefansson O. 9. Jonsson V.
Substitutes
18. Bjarnason E. 25. Elvarsson F. 17. Gudlaugsson B. 12. Hermannsson H. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 47. Karlsson E. 14. Mudrazija M. 28. Traustason V. A. 7. Valsson D.	5. Berndsen B. 1. Einarsson A. M. (G) 25. Ellertsson M. P. 20. Gudjonsson I. 44. Saevarsson G. 18. Thrastarson R. 17. Unnarsson G. 3. Vall J. 35. Zumbergs A.
Coaches
Gudmundsson H.	Sigurdsson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Sigurjonsson R. ↓, Berndsen B. ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Baxter B. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Ragnarsson E. ⚽, Conteh A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
52', 3 - 0, Ljubicic S. (Penalty Awarded),
54', 4 - 0, Ragnarsson E. ⚽,
56', Magnusson A. 🟨,
56', Al Ghoul M. 🟨,
57', 4 - 1, Jonsson V. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Thorarinsson G. ↓, Unnarsson G. ↑,
61', Stefansson O. ↓, Ellertsson M. P. ↑,
61', Thorsteinsson S. ↓, Vall J. ↑,
68', Jonsson V. 🟨,
76', Ljubicic S. ↓, Valsson D. ↑,
76', Conteh A. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
77', Jonsson V. ↓, Thrastarson R. ↑,
83', Magnusson S. ↓, Johannesson A. ↑,
83', Kralj A. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
86', 5 - 1, Al Ghoul M. ⚽,
86', Eyjolfsson G. 🟨,
87', Magnusson A. ↓, Karlsson E. ↑,
90+2', 5 - 2, Thrastarson R. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 4.

Keflavík has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Akraness is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Keflavík may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 1.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 2:1.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Akranes	24	9	6	9	44:47	-3	33
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.07.26	Breiðablik - Keflavík	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Keflavík - Fram	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Keflavík - KR Reykjavík	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Valur - Keflavík	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Keflavík - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWTL
- IA Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
12.07.26	KA Akureyri - Akraness	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Akraness - Breiðablik	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Akraness - Fram	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	KR Reykjavík - Akraness	5:3 ✺
16.06.26	Akraness - Valur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Akraness - Keflavík	1:3
Icelandic Cup
16.05.24	Keflavík - Akraness	3:1
19.04.23	Keflavík - Akraness	1:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
02.10.22	Keflavík - Akraness	3:2
28.08.22	Keflavík - Akraness	0:1
29.05.22	Akraness - Keflavík	0:2
Icelandic Cup
02.10.21	Akraness - Keflavík	2:0

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