Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 8

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Akranesvöllur (Akranes)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Akraness		ÍBV Vestmannaeyar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.55	5.7	Watch
	1.49	4.6	6.18
	1.48	4.68	6.17
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.47	4.5	5.84	Watch
	1.66	3.75	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.72)	4.35 ↑ (3.95)	5.55 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akraness
61.9%

Draw
21.4%

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akraness's performance.

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ÍBV Vestmannaeyar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akraness that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ÍBV Vestmannaeyar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Akraness - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Akraness will win (votes: 9 - 75%). ÍBV will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akraness: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Akraness (votes: 1 - 50%). ÍBV (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Akraness (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Akraness (votes: 3 - 75%). ÍBV (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Simonarson J. S. (G) 17. Unnarsson G. 13. Sandberg E. T. 5. Berndsen B. 21. Bodvarsson B. (C) 7. Haraldsson H. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 8. Thorarinsson G. 11. Eyjolfsson G. 22. Stefansson O. 9. Jonsson V.	33. Petersen A. (G) 22. Runarsson E. 2. Magnusson S. 4. Edeland M. 26. Fridriksson F. 30. Valor V. 25. Hilmarsson A. (C) 6. Tomic M. 7. Hardarson S. 9. Jeffs L. 27. Hlynsson R.
Substitutes
27. Atlason B. 31. Eidem I. 87. Ellertsson S. 28. Grzegorzsson D. 20. Gudjonsson I. 32. Gudmundsson J. 15. Gunnarsson G. 18. Thrastarson R. 3. Vall J.	17. Gautason E. 14. Gunnarsson A. 8. Gunnarsson B. 5. Kristjansson S. 28. Magnusson H. 42. Pisco 80. Thordarson H. 10. Valgeirsson V. 1. Zapytowski M. (G)
Coaches
Sigurdsson L.	Linta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Bodvarsson B. ↓, Vall J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 0, Unnarsson G. ⚽,
52', 2 - 0, Eyjolfsson G. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
60', Hilmarsson A. ↓, Thordarson H. ↑,
60', Jeffs L. ↓, Pisco ↑,
63', Jonsson V. ↓, Gunnarsson G. ↑,
67', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Thordarson H. ⚽,
68', Valor V. ↓, Gunnarsson B. ↑,
68', Hardarson S. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
74', Stefansson O. ↓, Thrastarson R. ↑,
74', Haraldsson H. ↓, Gudjonsson I. ↑,
76', Fridriksson F. ↓, Valgeirsson V. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Hlynsson R. ⚽, Thordarson H. (A),
90+6', Zapytowski M. 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 3.

Akraness has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ÍBV has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Akraness may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Akraness is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Akraness won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Akranes	24	9	6	9	44:47	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Akraness	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.05.26	Akraness - Grindavik	3:2 penalties ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Akraness - Keflavík	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Stjarnan - Akraness	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Akraness	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL
- ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.05.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	KA Akureyri - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Breiðablik	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Fram - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	5:1 ✺
23.04.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - KR Reykjavík	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
04.10.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Akraness	0:2
31.08.25	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Akraness	2:0
01.06.25	Akraness - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	0:3
22.10.22	Akraness - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:2
21.08.22	Akraness - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:1
21.05.22	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Akraness	0:0
24.08.19	Akraness - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:1

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