Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 7

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)

Referee: Arnason E. I. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 3
World	Onefootball


	Thor Akureyri		Akraness

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.9	1.88
	3.1	3.85	2	Watch
	3.38	4.01	2.05
	3.26	4.19	1.97	Watch
	2.9	3.9	1.95
	3.1	3.82	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.42)	3.95 ↓ (4.27)	1.99 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
29.5%

Draw
23.6%

Akraness
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

22.1%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

21.4%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Akraness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Thor Akureyri - Akraness Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Thor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Akraness will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 15. Kristjansson K. 19. Ragnarsson R. 5. Affi Y. 7. Sigurjonsson A. 22. Hlynsson A. 18. Ingason S. 8. Halldorsson E. 10. Magnusson A. 9. Haugland S. 25. Jakobsen C.	1. Einarsson A. M. (G) 66. Gislason J. G. E. 13. Sandberg E. T. 5. Berndsen B. 21. Bodvarsson B. (C) 7. Haraldsson H. 8. Thorarinsson G. 11. Eyjolfsson G. 22. Stefansson O. 9. Jonsson V. 25. Ellertsson M. P.
Substitutes
21. Baldvinsson E. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 17. Gislason F. 37. Gunnarsson S. 30. Helgason P. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 4. Runarsson H. 14. Vioarsson S.	27. Atlason B. 31. Eidem I. 87. Ellertsson S. 28. Grzegorzsson D. 20. Gudjonsson I. 32. Gudmundsson J. 15. Gunnarsson G. 17. Unnarsson G. 3. Vall J.
Coaches
Hoskuldsson S.	Sigurdsson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Magnusson A. 🟨,
21', Jakobsen C. 🟨,
27', Sandberg E. T. 🟨,
32', Gislason J. G. E. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Jonsson V. ⚽, Thorarinsson G. (A),
43', Haugland S. 🟨,
43', Berndsen B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, Ellertsson M. P. ⚽, Gislason J. G. E. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Affi Y. ⚽, Sigurjonsson A. (A),
58', Jonsson V. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Haugland S. ↓, Brynjolfsson B. ↑,
61', Magnusson A. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
66', Stefansson O. ↓, Vall J. ↑,
66', Jakobsen C. ↓, Baldvinsson E. ↑,
67', Ingason S. ↓, Gunnarsson S. ↑,
73', Brynjolfsson B. 🟨,
77', Thorarinsson G. ↓, Unnarsson G. ↑,
80', Kristjansson K. ↓, Gislason F. ↑,
84', Eyjolfsson G. ↓, Gunnarsson G. ↑,
84', Ellertsson M. P. ↓, Gudjonsson I. ↑,
90+3', Gudjonsson I. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 0.

Thor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Akraness has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Thor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Akraness is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Thor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Akranes	24	9	6	9	44:47	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri	6:0 ✺
02.05.26	Thor Akureyri - KA Akureyri	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Breiðablik - Thor Akureyri	4:0 ✺
23.04.26	Thor Akureyri - Fram	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	KR Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL
- IA Akraness
Icelandic Cup
13.05.26	Akraness - Grindavik	3:2 penalties ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Akraness - Keflavík	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Stjarnan - Akraness	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Akraness	4:0 ✺
22.04.26	Akraness - KA Akureyri	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
07.02.26	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	1:1
Icelandic Division 1
02.09.23	Thor Akureyri - Akraness	2:3
29.06.23	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	4:0
Icelandic League Cup
12.02.22	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	3:1
01.03.19	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	4:1
Icelandic Division 1
27.07.18	Akraness - Thor Akureyri	5:0
10.05.18	Thor Akureyri - Akraness	0:1

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