Match Info

Cyprus League - Relegation Group - Round 33

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium (Pafos)

Referee: Culina A. (Cro)


	Akritas Chlorakas		AEL Limassol

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.65	4.35
	1.77	3.84	4.42
	1.66	4.02	4.69	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.75	3.75	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.53)	3.73 ↑ (3.52)	4.36 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akritas Chlorakas
53.8%

Draw
24.9%

AEL Limassol
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

26.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

25.5%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akritas Chlorakas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akritas Chlorakas's performance.

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEL Limassol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akritas Chlorakas than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akritas Chlorakas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEL Limassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Akritas Chlorakas - AEL Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Akritas Chlorakas will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akritas Chlorakas: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - AEL (3.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. AEL (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perntreou K. (G) 82. Anang B. 5. Antoniou K. 80. Carlitos 19. Ioannou T. 37. Manu B. M. 4. Miller S. 9. Romo J. 25. Vignato E. 28. Zabelin P. 29. Zinonos N.	98. Kyriakou P. (G) 14. Christofi S. 24. Imanishimwe E. 33. Makris A. 19. Milosavljevic I. 63. Mughe F. R. 25. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 90. Panagi P. 27. Sawo Z. 35. Sergio Conceicao 6. Zdravkovski D.
Substitutes
16. Anthony I. 11. Athanasiou A. 7. Barry T. 99. Becker Y. (G) 22. Benito 17. Castro Y. 26. Chatzivasilis G. 77. Limbombe A. 2. Moreira D. 23. Taffertshofer E. 88. Theokli A. (G) 30. Vasiliou G.	45. Forestieri F. 10. Jradi B. Z. . Karamanis A. 99. Keravnos A. (G) 95. Neofytidis C. (G) 22. Neofytou K. 8. Papafotis V. 29. Paroutis D.
Coaches
Okkas G.	Martins H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Miller S. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Sawo Z. ⚽,
44', Imanishimwe E. 🟨,
45+2', Romo J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Antoniou K. ↓, Taffertshofer E. ↑,
54', Zdravkovski D. ↓, Jradi B. Z. ↑,
54', Mughe F. R. ↓, Paroutis D. ↑,
61', Manu B. M. ↓, Castro Y. ↑,
74', Vignato E. ↓, Chatzivasilis G. ↑,
74', Carlitos ↓, Barry T. ↑,
78', Sawo Z. 🟨,
80', Christofi S. ↓, Forestieri F. ↑,
83', Kyriakou P. 🟨,
83', Sawo Z. ↓, Karamani C. ↑,
87', Anang B. ↓, Benito ↑,
89', Ioannou T. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Paroutis D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akritas Chlorakas won 2.

In recent matches, Akritas Chlorakas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AEL has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Akritas Chlorakas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in AEL: Frantzis C. (Injury) Maseko T. (Red Card)

There are questionable in AEL: Bogdan L. (Inactive) Ochoa G. (Inactive) Singh L. (Inactive) Szoke J. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Akritas Chlorakas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Akritas Chlorakas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEL Limassol	4	3	0	1	6:7	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Akritas Chlorakas - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akritas Chlorakas
Cypriot First Division
09.05.26	Omonia Aradippou - Akritas Chlorakas	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Akritas Chlorakas - Ethnikos Achna	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Akritas Chlorakas	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Akritas Chlorakas	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Akritas Chlorakas - Krasava Ypsonas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWL
- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
09.05.26	AEL Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Krasava Ypsonas - AEL Limassol	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	AEL Limassol - Anorthosis	0:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
22.04.26	Paphos - AEL Limassol	3:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
17.04.26	AEL Limassol - Enosis Neon Paralimni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
17.01.26	Akritas Chlorakas - AEL Limassol	0:2
27.09.25	AEL Limassol - Akritas Chlorakas	0:2
09.05.23	Akritas Chlorakas - AEL Limassol	1:0
01.04.23	AEL Limassol - Akritas Chlorakas	2:2
02.02.23	AEL Limassol - Akritas Chlorakas	2:1
28.10.22	Akritas Chlorakas - AEL Limassol	0:3

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