Match Info

Date: 24 August 2020, Monday


	Akropolis		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.5	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	6.1	4	1.5	Watch
	6	4.1	1.48
	6.46	4.17	1.53
	6.5	4.33	1.47	Watch
	6.1	4.4	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.09 ↑ (4.76)	4.16 ↑ (3.67)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akropolis
15.3%

Draw
22.4%

Degerfors
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.4%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

20.3%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akropolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Degerfors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akropolis than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Degerfors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	21.4%	57.1%

Akropolis - Degerfors Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Akropolis will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). Degerfors will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Degerfors: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Allsvenskan).

Akropolis is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Degerfors is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Akropolis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Degerfors is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Akropolis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Akropolis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akropolis IF
Swedish Superettan
17.08.20	AFC Eskilstuna - Akropolis	1:2 ✺
11.08.20	Akropolis - Sundsvall	1:1 ✺
07.08.20	Öster - Akropolis	0:1 ✺
02.08.20	Akropolis - GAIS	2:2 ✺
30.07.20	Brage - Akropolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWTT
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
16.08.20	Degerfors - Ljungskile	4:1 ✺
12.08.20	GAIS - Degerfors	0:0 ✺
08.08.20	Degerfors - AFC Eskilstuna	5:0 ✺
01.08.20	Sundsvall - Degerfors	1:4 ✺
29.07.20	Degerfors - Öster	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
21.08.13	Akropolis - Degerfors	0:3

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