Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 26

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 6, TV4 Play


	Sundsvall		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.83
	4.1	3.4	1.78
	4.2	3.6	1.83	Watch
	4.37	3.63	1.87
	4.21	3.57	1.83	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.75
	4.17	3.6	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (3.91)	3.55 ↓ (3.56)	1.82 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
22.2%

Draw
26.3%

Degerfors
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

26.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.9%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sundsvall - Degerfors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsson J. (C) 18. Forsberg L. 12. Lindgren P. 4. Svanberg L. 30. Kralj A. 3. Jelassi M. 23. Aviander H. 8. Manchon M. 9. Kagayama T. 15. Palomino M. 14. Bengtsson J.	25. Forsell R. (G) 6. Moros C. 30. Morgado B. 23. Heden Lindskog A. 12. Lindell E. 4. Martensson J. (C) 22. Girmai N. 20. Gravius C. 2. Diaby M. 9. Lindgren G. 10. Vukojevic D.
Substitutes
11. Carstrom J. 21. Engblom P. 19. Finey Y. 13. Henareh D. (G) 6. Hudu A. 17. Nordh G. 5. Olsson D.	11. Fisic A. 18. Gronborg T. 8. Holmen K. 26. Jarlesand F. (G) 17. Kassi L. 15. Moro N. 21. Pihlstrom E.
Coaches
Ates E.	Lundin W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Manchon M. ↓, Hudu A. ↑,
56', Bengtsson J. ↓, Engblom P. ↑,
61', Heden Lindskog A. ↓, Pihlstrom E. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Lindgren G. ⚽, Lindell E. (A),
73', Jelassi M. ↓, Finey Y. ↑,
73', Palomino M. ↓, Carstrom J. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Nordh G. ⚽, Finey Y. (A),
78', Kagayama T. ↓, Nordh G. ↑,
79', Lindgren G. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Lindell E. ⚽,
89', Girmai N. ↓, Gronborg T. ↑,
90', Pihlstrom E. 🟨,
90+3', Forsell R. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 1.

Recent matches Sundsvall is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Degerfors is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Degerfors is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sundsvall won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:24 (average 1.7:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sundsvall won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
28.09.24	Skövde AIK - Sundsvall	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Sundsvall - Öster	0:2 ✺
18.09.24	Östersund - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Sundsvall - Brage	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Örebro - Sundsvall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WLWTT
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Superettan
28.09.24	Degerfors - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Sandviken - Degerfors	0:1 ✺
19.09.24	Degerfors - Gefle	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Utsikten - Degerfors	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Degerfors - Östersund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
06.04.24	Degerfors - Sundsvall	2:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.08.22	Degerfors - Sundsvall	3:1
09.05.22	Sundsvall - Degerfors	2:3
Svenska Cupen
27.02.22	Degerfors - Sundsvall	4:1
Swedish Superettan
28.11.20	Degerfors - Sundsvall	2:5
01.08.20	Sundsvall - Degerfors	1:4
13.09.14	Degerfors - Sundsvall	4:1

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