Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Aksaray Belediyespor		Muş Spor

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.1	2.48
	3.08	3.1	2.54
	3.47	2.05	3.28	Watch
	2.72	3.04	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.07)	2.82 ↓ (3.1)	2.68 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aksaray Belediyespor
31.5%

Draw
33.4%

Muş Spor
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29.4%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksaray Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aksaray Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Muş Spor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Muş Spor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aksaray Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aksaray Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muş Spor than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Muş Spor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aksaray Belediyespor - Muş Spor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', Yildrim F. 🟥,
89', 1 - 0, Karakas I. ⚽,
90+4', Yildirim Y. 🟥,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Muş Spor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aksaray Belediyespor has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aksaray Belediyespor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Aksaray Belediyespor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.25	Menemenspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Kırklarelispor	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Isparta 32 Spor - Aksaray Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.09.25	Niğde Belediyespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
07.09.25	Arnavutköy - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTTLT
- Muş Spor
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.25	Muş Spor - Aliaga	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Menemenspor - Muş Spor	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	Muş Spor - Somaspor	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kırklarelispor - Muş Spor	1:4 ✺
07.09.25	Muş Spor - Ankara Demirspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
02.04.23	Aksaray Belediyespor - Muş Spor	2:1

Aksaray Belediyespor - Muş Spor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide