Match Info
2. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 4 May 2026, MondayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Muş Spor |
|
Aliaga |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.35 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.02 |
3.41 |
3.16 |
|
 |
2.04 |
3.58 |
3.16 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
3.1 |
3 |
|
 |
2 |
3.44 |
3.22 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2.04) |
3.38 ↓
(3.58) |
3.13 ↓
(3.16) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Muş Spor
44.2% | Draw
26.8% | Aliaga
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muş Spor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Aliaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muş Spor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Muş Spor - Aliaga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- Penalties (6 - 5)
- 1, Sarikaya M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Asliyuksek E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Cetin V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Ohawuchi S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Ozek A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Yildirim Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Koc A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Budak B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Kartal E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Celik C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Yidirim O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Karagulle E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Gumus Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Toprak O. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.Muş Spor is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Aliaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Muş Spor will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muş Spor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).Including home match between the teams, Muş Spor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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