Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Al-Ahed		Al-Mabarrah

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.00	10.50
	1.21	5.15	9.80
	1.22	5.44	8.90
	1.24	5.4	9.8	Watch
	1.20	5.35	8.80
	1.28	5.24	9.43
	1.23	5.40	10.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)	5.28 ↑ (4.93)	9.6 ↑ (7.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahed
73.5%

Draw
17.1%

Al-Mabarrah
9.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.4%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Al-Mabarrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Al Ahed - Al Mabarrah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Salami H. ⚽, Al Sabbagh B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', Usman A. 🟥,

Preview

The betting markets point to Al-Ahed as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ahed has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Ahed against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Al Ahed	4	2	2	0	4:2	2	8
8	Al Mabarrah	4	1	0	3	1:7	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ahed - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 69.83%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Premier League
09.10.26	Tripoli - Al-Ahed	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Al-Ahed - Jwaya	2:2 ✺
28.07.26	Nejmeh - Al-Ahed	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Al-Ahed - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:1 ✺
20.07.26	Jwaya - Al-Ahed	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLTL
- Al-Mabarrah
Lebanese Premier League
09.10.26	Jwaya - Al-Mabarrah	3:0 ✺
03.07.26	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Mabarrah	4:0 ✺
29.06.26	Al-Mabarrah - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:7 ✺
25.06.26	Hekmeh - Al-Mabarrah	2:1 penalties ✺
21.06.26	Nejmeh - Al-Mabarrah	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
15.02.26	Al-Mabarrah - Al-Ahed	1:0
17.10.25	Al-Ahed - Al-Mabarrah	2:0

Al-Ahed - Al-Mabarrah