Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Beirut Municipal Stadium (Beirut)


	Al-Ahed		Jwaya

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.65
	2.52	3.2	2.48	Watch
	2.64	3.46	2.26
	2.32	3.28	2.85	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.2
	2.62	3.38	2.3
	2.5	3.2	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.43)	3.29 ↑ (3.04)	2.46 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahed
35.9%

Draw
27.4%

Jwaya
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.6%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Jwaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jwaya than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Al Ahed - Jwaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Antar F. ⚽, Atwi A. E. (A),
44', 2 - 0, Dakik H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 2 - 1, Farran Z. ⚽, Mhaydle H. (A),
73', 2 - 2, Fawaz W. ⚽, Shour W. (A),

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahed won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Ahed won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ahed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Jwayya	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahed SC
Lebanese Premier League
28.07.26	Nejmeh - Al-Ahed	2:1 ✺
24.07.26	Al-Ahed - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:1 ✺
20.07.26	Jwaya - Al-Ahed	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Al-Ahed - Nejmeh	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Ahed	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLLT
- Jwaya SC
Lebanese Premier League
28.07.26	Jwaya - Al-Ansar Beirut	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Nejmeh - Jwaya	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Jwaya - Al-Ahed	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Jwaya	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Jwaya - Nejmeh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
20.07.26	Jwaya - Al-Ahed	2:0
06.02.26	Jwaya - Al-Ahed	0:1
04.10.25	Al-Ahed - Jwaya	1:0

Al-Ahed - Jwaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide