The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Ahli Doha 49.4%
Draw 23.8%
Al-Markhiya 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.6%
20.7%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
15.7%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahli Doha's form might have worsened.
Al-Markhiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Markhiya's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Markhiya than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Markhiya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al Ahli Doha - Al Markhiya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Badredlin M. (G) 18. Mohammed J. 5. Arias R. 16. Tihi R. 26. Lafrid Y. 22. Al Doukali S. 8. Doumbia I. 12. Al Sebai A. 7. Draxler J. 17. Yansane S. 32. Doozandeh N.
1. Ashour L. (G) 4. Laallam A. 35. Semedo R. 23. Sarr N. 15. Al Naimi M. 88. Al Abbasi A. 33. Fettouhi D. 54. Moustafa A. 18. Al Sayed A. 10. Njie Y. 7. Al Muhannadi A.
Substitutes
80. Abadi A. (G) 25. Abdelkader E. 19. Abdelkader M. 31. Abdelrahim A. 99. Abdelrahman A. 33. Ali Jeera Y. 21. Al Ishaq M. 88. Bour M. 69. El Badri S. 37. Meqresh M. 10. Sliti N. 3. Yassine I.
34. Aboutrika A. 17. Al Hassan M. 14. Al Muhaza T. 99. Al Qadri M. N. 77. Al Raeesi Y. 9. Bannis N. 11. Hassan M. 21. Jasimi A. 22. Mohamad O. (G) 3. Rahman N. 25. Salmane 12. Soltani M.
Coaches
Miguel P.
Bougherra M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 1 - 0, Draxler J. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Al Naimi M. ⚽, Resan B. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Resan B. ⚽, Al Muhannadi A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Al Doukali S. ↓, Sliti N. ↑,
47', Al Abbasi A. 🟨,
68', Doozandeh N. ↓, Ali Jeera Y. ↑,
69', Moustafa A. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
73', Draxler J. ↓, Abdelrahim A. ↑,
73', Al Muhannadi A. ↓, Bannis N. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Bannis N. ⚽, Njie Y. (A),
84', Al Sebai A. ↓, Al Ishaq M. ↑,
89', Resan B. 🟨,
90', 1 - 4, Resan B. ⚽, Fettouhi D. (A),
90+3', Laallam A. ↓, Al Muhaza T. ↑,
90+7', Ashour L. 🟨,
Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - Al Thumama Stadium.
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Ahli Doha won 3.
Recent matches Al-Ahli Doha is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Al-Markhiya has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Al-Markhiya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Al-Ahli Doha have a series of guest games.
In this match Al-Ahli Doha is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Ahli Doha won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ahli Doha won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.
Watch
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Badredlin M. (G) 
Arias R. 
Tihi R. 
Doumbia I. 
Draxler J. 
Yansane S. 
Laallam A. 
Semedo R. 
Sarr N. 
Fettouhi D. 
Njie Y. 
Sliti N. 
Aboutrika A. 
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