Match Info

QSL Cup - Round 5

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor)


	Al-Shamal		Al-Markhiya

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.08	4.08
	1.05	11.32	24.61	Watch
	1.73	3.8	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.95)	6.4 ↑ (3.63)	10.86 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Shamal
73%

Draw
17%

Al-Markhiya
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

24.9%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shamal's performance.

Al-Markhiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Markhiya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shamal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Markhiya than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Markhiya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al Shamal - Al Markhiya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 1.

Al-Shamal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Markhiya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Shamal could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Shamal SC
Qatar QSL Cup
03.10.25	Al-Shamal - Al Bidda	3:3 ✺
Qatar QSL
27.09.25	Qatar SC - Al-Shamal	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
23.09.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Shamal	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
20.09.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTTTW
- Al-Markhiya SC
Qatar QSL Cup
03.10.25	Al-Sadd - Al-Markhiya	2:3 ✺
24.09.25	Al-Sailiya - Al-Markhiya	1:0 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
17.09.25	Al-Markhiya - Al-Kharitiyath	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
01.09.25	Al-Markhiya - Muaither	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
26.08.25	Al Bidda - Al-Markhiya	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
11.03.24	Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya	2:0
20.10.23	Al-Markhiya - Al-Shamal	2:1
Qatar QSL Cup
07.10.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya	0:2
Qatar QSL
28.04.23	Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya	1:3
19.04.23	Al-Markhiya - Al-Shamal	2:1
Qatar QSL Cup
08.10.22	Al-Markhiya - Al-Shamal	2:3
Qatar QSL 2
10.03.21	Al-Markhiya - Al-Shamal	0:3

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