Match Info

QSL Cup - Round 3

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha)


	Al-Ahli Doha		Al-Waab

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.08	3.3	2.96
	2.45	3.38	2.52
	2.34	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.63)	3.26 ↓ (3.71)	2.68 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Doha
39%

Draw
27.6%

Al-Waab
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

22.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahli Doha's form might have worsened.

Al-Waab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Waab's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Doha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Waab than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Waab, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Al Ahli Doha - Al Waab Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Ahli Doha will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Waab will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Waab (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Al-Ahli Doha (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli Doha (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Waab (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Al-Ahli Doha has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Waab has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Al-Ahli Doha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Doha
AFC Champions League 2
01.10.25	Andijan - Al-Ahli Doha	0:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
26.09.25	Al-Shahania - Al-Ahli Doha	1:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
24.09.25	Lusail City - Al-Ahli Doha	4:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
21.09.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Rayyan	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al Khalidiah	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLT
- Al-Waab FC
Qatar QSL Cup
22.09.25	Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Waab	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
17.09.25	Al-Khor - Al-Waab	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
01.09.25	Al-Waab - Al-Mesaimeer	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL 2
26.08.25	Muaither - Al-Waab	1:0 ✺
19.08.25	Al-Waab - Lusail City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTTLL

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