Match Info

QSL - Round 6

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium (Doha) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Qatar	17:30	Al Kass Five, Al Kass Six, Shoof


	Al-Ahli Doha		Al-Wakrah

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.60	2.30
	2.48	3.40	2.35
	2.55	4.03	2.51
	2.28	4.11	2.58	Watch
	2.50	3.80	2.45
	2.53	3.95	2.38	Watch
	2.47	3.70	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)	3.8 ↓ (3.88)	2.42 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Doha
37.5%

Draw
24.3%

Al-Wakrah
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

23.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

23.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Al-Wakrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wakrah than the current prediction. (+2%)

Al Ahli Doha - Al Wakrah Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lingliz M. (G) 41. Reyed A. 8. Ali T. 16. Tihi R. 88. Amraoui A. 33. Fettouhi D. (C) 77. Mohammed I. 27. Bourigeaud B. 7. Draxler J. 23. Sliti N. 10. Exposito E.	99. Abdulla O. (G) 16. Irfan N. 3. Calione P. 2. Lucas Mendes (C) 12. Naji M. 7. Assal A. 6. Salah O. 93. Laidouni A. 75. Zouhzouh A. 10. Gelson Dala 18. Luis Alberto
Substitutes
70. Abdelrahman Y. 53. Ahmed S. (G) 15. Al-Ishaq Y. 12. Al Minhali G. 75. Babiker N. 18. Jassem Mohammed 6. Luiz Ceara 20. Mansour H. 49. Sassi Z. 5. Troost-Ekong W.	15. Ali A. 20. Al Yazidi N. 17. Boussafi R. 28. El Khatib Y. 5. Fadel A. 34. Hassan M. 89. Othman A. (G) 22. Ramadan Y. M. (G) 26. Saei A. 19. Seyam T. 66. Simo 14. Zaky A.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Sierra Jose L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Zouhzouh A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Ali T. 🟨,
60', Ali T. ↓, Al Minhali G. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Zouhzouh A. ⚽,
65', Gelson Dala ↓, Simo ↑,
77', Fettouhi D. ↓, Luiz Ceara ↑,
79', Assal A. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
83', Al Minhali G. 🟨,
83', Mohammed I. ↓, Abdelrahman Y. ↑,
83', Reyed A. ↓, Jassem Mohammed ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Zouhzouh A. ⚽, Naji M. (A),
90+2', Irfan N. ↓, Zaky A. ↑,
90+2', Zouhzouh A. ↓, Seyam T. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Al-Ahli Doha may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ahli Doha has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 45:44 (averaging 2.3:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Ahli Doha against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 31:21 goals (averaging 2.6:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Al Wakrah	7	3	2	2	13:13	0	11
7	Al Ahli Doha	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Doha
Qatar QSL
10.10.26	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Sailiya	5:0 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
29.09.26	Al-Markhiya - Al-Ahli Doha	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shahania	0:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
11.09.26	Al-Rayyan - Al-Ahli Doha	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Al-Ahli Doha - Qatar SC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLLW
- Al-Wakrah SC
Qatar QSL
08.10.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa	3:2 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
28.09.26	Al-Kharitiyath - Al-Wakrah	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Sailiya	1:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
10.09.26	Al-Shamal - Al-Wakrah	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Lusail City - Al-Wakrah	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Qatar QSL
06.02.26	Al-Wakrah - Al-Ahli Doha	3:2
Qatar QSL Cup
11.11.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Wakrah	2:2
Qatar QSL
13.09.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Wakrah	5:3
11.01.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Wakrah	6:3
Qatar QSL Cup
15.11.24	Al-Wakrah - Al-Ahli Doha	3:1
Qatar QSL
11.08.24	Al-Wakrah - Al-Ahli Doha	2:2
28.04.24	Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Wakrah	1:0

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