Match Info

Date: 11 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)


	Al-Ahli Jeddah		Najran

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.25
	1.5	3.5	6.6
	1.52	3.5	5.4
	1.6	3.35	6.01
	1.5	3.4	5.8
	1.5	3.72	6.1	Watch
	1.56	3.7	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.7)	3.55 ↑ (3.35)	5.82 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah
59.1%

Draw
25.4%

Najran
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahli Jeddah's performance.

Najran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najran than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	13.3%	26.7%

Al Ahli Jeddah - Najran Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Najran will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Ahli won 3.

Recent matches Al-Ahli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Najran is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Ahli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Ahli is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Ahli won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ahli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Division 1
05.10.22	Jeddah - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1 ✺
16.09.22	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Ohud Medina	3:0 ✺
11.09.22	Al-Orobah - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0 ✺
05.09.22	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Kholood	1:0 ✺
30.08.22	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWTWL
- Najran SC
Saudi Division 1
03.10.22	Najran - Al-Ain	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Al-Riyadh - Najran	3:2 ✺
11.09.22	Najran - Al-Jabalain	1:3 ✺
05.09.22	Al Hazem - Najran	4:1 ✺
29.08.22	Najran - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
27.02.16	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Najran	1:2
30.10.15	Najran - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1
11.03.15	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Najran	2:1
23.08.14	Najran - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1
28.03.14	Najran - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:5
07.12.13	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Najran	3:2
08.03.13	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Najran	5:1

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