Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 14

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al Akhdoud		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
	8	4.2	1.3
	8	4.85	1.34
	8.38	3.62	1.47	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.3
	7.8	4.55	1.33	Watch
	8.5	4.75	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.03 ↑ (7.5)	4.41 ↑ (4.2)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Akhdoud
11.4%

Draw
20.7%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

21.5%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Akhdoud - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Al Akhdoud (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Al-Ahli (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Akhdoud (votes: 1 - 20%). Al-Ahli (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Samuel Portugal (G) 21. Abu Abd M. 4. Al Rubaie S. (C) 17. Gul G. 15. Asiri N. 3. Al Salem A. 11. Ince B. 6. Petros 18. Pedroza J. 20. Al Harthi S. 9. Kramer B.	1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 5. Sulaiman M. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez (C) 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 10. Millot E. 30. Al Johani Z. 20. Matheus Goncalves 13. Galeno 9. Al Buraikan F. 17. Toney I.
Substitutes
12. Al Hatila A. 10. Al Jahif M. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 8. Al Zabdani H. 88. Ashi I. 55. Borrell M. 22. Gunter K. 19. Salem S.	62. Abdo A. (G) 87. Al Attar R. 14. Al Muwallad E. 19. Al Rashidi F. 23. Azzam I. 32. Dams M. 46. Hamidou R. 60. Madani Y. 77. Ricardo Mathias
Coaches
Sumudica M.	Jaissle M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Pedroza J. 🟨,
45+4', Matheus Goncalves 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Millot E. 🟨,
55', Petros 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Toney I. ⚽, Al Johani Z. (A),
71', Al Harthi S. ↓, Gunter K. ↑,
80', Ince B. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
83', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
84', Al Johani Z. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
89', Al Salem A. 🟨,
90+2', Toney I. 🟨,
90+2', Asiri N. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 3.

Al-Ahli is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Ahli is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Ahli SC	8	5	0	3	20:10	10	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
02.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Al Akhdoud - Damac	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Feiha - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTL
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
02.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Feiha	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Al Fateh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.12.25	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:5 ✺
Saudi King Cup
28.11.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Qadisiya	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
15.03.25	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1
25.10.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	1:1
16.02.24	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:2
24.08.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	1:0
Saudi Division 1
02.02.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Akhdoud	1:4
30.08.22	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:0

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