Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 3

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium (Al Ain)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, beIN Sports MENA AFC 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Sport 1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	Sports18 3, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Israel	Sport 4
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Mexico	ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Portugal	Canal 11
Qatar	Al Kass Ten
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	Paramount+, Sport 24 Extra
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Triller TV+


	Al Ain		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	5	1.4
	6.5	5	1.4
	6.72	5.2	1.41
	6.12	5.19	1.41
	6.5	5	1.33	Watch
	6.55	5.25	1.41	Watch
	6.5	5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.45 ↑ (5.22)	5.09 ↑ (4.55)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Ain
14.5%

Draw
18.4%

Al-Hilal
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

20.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

20.4%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Hilal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Hilal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Ain - Al Hilal Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Hilal will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Eisa K. (G) 11. Mohammed B. (C) 4. Cardoso F. 3. Kouadio K. 15. Erik 70. Traore A. 5. Park Yong-Woo 10. Kaku 20. Palacios M. 8. Abbas M. 21. Rahimi S.	17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 20. Cancelo J. 3. Koulibaly K. 5. Al Bulayhi A. 6. Lodi R. 8. Neves R. 16. Al Dawsari N. 77. Malcom 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 29. Al Dawsari S. (C) 9. Mitrovic A.
Substitutes
18. Ali K. 72. Awad M. 13. Barman A. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 27. Gassama S. 16. Hashemi K. 29. Infantino G. 46. Komari D. 9. Laba K. 24. Salomoni F. 19. Sanabria M. 7. Segovia M.	4. Al Dawsari K. 50. Al Ghamdi A. (G) 7. Al Ghannam K. 99. Al Hamdan A. 24. Al Harbi M. 15. Al Qahtani M. 12. Al Shahrani Y. 88. Al Yami H. 28. Kanno M. 11. Marcos Leonardo 10. Neymar 87. Tambakti H.
Coaches
Crespo H.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
20', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Lodi R. ⚽, Mitrovic A. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Rahimi S. ⚽, Erik (A),
45+2', 1 - 2, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Cancelo J. (A),
45+5', 1 - 3, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Al Dawsari N. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
56', Traore A. ↓, Laba K. ↑,
56', Abbas M. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
63', 2 - 3, Sanabria M. ⚽,
65', 2 - 4, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
67', 3 - 4, Rahimi S. ⚽, Palacios M. (A),
69', Park Yong-Woo ↓, Infantino G. ↑,
69', Neves R. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
69', Koulibaly K. ↓, Tambakti H. ↑,
75', 3 - 5, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Kanno M. (A),
77', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Neymar ↑,
82', Al Bulayhi A. 🟥,
85', Cardoso F. ↓, Hashemi K. ↑,
85', Erik ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
89', Mitrovic A. ↓, Al Dawsari K. ↑,
90+2', Palacios M. 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 5, Rahimi S. (Pen),
90+11', Cancelo J. 🟨,
90+13', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Ain won 1.

Recent matches Al Ain is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Hilal is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Al-Hilal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al-Hilal is certain favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Al Ain won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:19 (average 0.9:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Al Ain won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Ain FC
UAE Presidents Cup
17.10.24	Hatta - Al Ain	0:4 ✺
UAE Football League
06.10.24	Al Ain - Al-Wahda	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.24	Al-Gharafa - Al Ain	4:2 ✺
UAE Football League
26.09.24	Al Ain - Al Wasl	4:2 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
22.09.24	Al Ain - Auckland City	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
18.10.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Feiha	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
01.10.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Shorta	5:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
28.09.24	Al-Kholood - Al-Hilal	2:4 ✺
Saudi King Cup
24.09.24	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
23.04.24	Al-Hilal - Al Ain	2:1
17.04.24	Al Ain - Al-Hilal	4:2
Saudi Professional League
17.10.20	Al-Hilal - Al Ain	1:0
AFC Champions League
06.05.19	Al-Hilal - Al Ain	2:0
05.03.19	Al Ain - Al-Hilal	0:1
02.04.18	Al Ain - Al-Hilal	2:1
13.02.18	Al-Hilal - Al Ain	0:0

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