Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-korea	Tving
Sweden	TV4 Play
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Disney+, Onefootball app, Triller TV+


	Al-Gharafa		Al Ain

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.8	1.95
	3.4	3.75	1.95
	3.5	4.05	1.94
	3.43	4.08	1.89	Watch
	3	4.2	1.91	Watch
	3.61	4.33	1.84	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.9)	3.99 ↓ (4)	1.92 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
27.7%

Draw
23.4%

Al Ain
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

23.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

22.7%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Al Ain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Al Gharafa - Al Ain Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Al Ain will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Rico S. (G) 28. Kechrida W. 32. Nani M. 42. Sano S. 21. Fadlalla S. 31. Sassi F. (C) 29. Diaz F. 24. Gunnarsson A. 7. Coman F. 8. Brahimi Y. 9. Joselu	17. Eisa K. (G) 11. Mohammed B. (C) 4. Cardoso F. 3. Kouadio K. 15. Erik 5. Park Yong-Woo 10. Kaku 19. Sanabria M. 20. Palacios M. 70. Traore A. 21. Rahimi S.
Substitutes
80. Al Ganehi A. 26. Boussafi R. 99. Hamed J. 16. Houssam Y. 12. Ismaeil H. 40. Lecomte-Addani A. (G) 18. N'Diaye K. (G) 19. Saaed Ahmed Y. 14. Sudarmanto A. 17. Surag A. 6. Traore D. 2. Yousif A.	18. Ali K. 72. Awad M. 13. Barman A. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 23. Butti K. 27. Gassama S. 16. Hashemi K. 46. Komari D. 99. Loulendo J. 6. Nader Y. 24. Salomoni F. 7. Segovia M.
Coaches
Martins P.	Crespo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Joselu ⚽, Sano S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
47', Cardoso F. 🟨,
48', 2 - 0, Joselu ⚽, Sano S. (A),
54', Sano S. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Kaku (Pen),
61', Sanabria M. ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Rahimi S. ⚽, Kaku (A),
69', Joselu 🟨,
72', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Yousif A. ↑,
72', Kechrida W. ↓, Al Ganehi A. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Sano S. ⚽, Coman F. (A),
76', 4 - 2, Brahimi Y. ⚽, Coman F. (A),
78', Nani M. 🟨,
82', Traore A. ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
82', Park Yong-Woo ↓, Nader Y. ↑,
84', Rahimi S. 🟨,
87', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
90', Erik ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
90+3', Coman F. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
90+10', Nader Y. 🟨,
90+11', Brahimi Y. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,

Preview

Al-Gharafa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Ain is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Al Ain have a series of home games.

Al Ain will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
26.09.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	4:2 ✺
22.09.24	Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.24	Esteghlal - Al-Gharafa	3:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
13.09.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
06.09.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLTL
- Al Ain FC
UAE Football League
26.09.24	Al Ain - Al Wasl	4:2 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
22.09.24	Al Ain - Auckland City	6:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.24	Al Ain - Al-Sadd	1:1 ✺
UAE League Cup
07.09.24	Al Ain - Ittihad Kalba	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
30.08.24	Al Bataeh - Al Ain	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTWT

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