Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	04:00	Paramount+
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:00	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Bulgaria	21:00	Nova Sport
China	02:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub 2
Hong Kong	02:00	HOY TV
India	23:30	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	01:00	RCTI+
Japan	03:00	DAZN Japan
Macao	02:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
North Macedonia	20:00	MaxTV GO
Romania	21:00	AntenaPLAY
Russia	21:00	TV Start Triumph
Slovenia	20:00	SportKlub 5
South Korea	03:00	Tving
Sweden	20:00	TV4 Play
Turkey	21:00	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 2
United Arab Emirates	22:00	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Usa	14:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	01:00	FPT Play
International	18:00	Disney+, Onefootball app, Triller TV+


	Al-Gharafa		Al Ain

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.3	3.8	1.95
	3.4	3.75	1.95
	3.5	4.05	1.94
	3.43	4.08	1.89	Watch
	3	4.2	1.91	Watch
	3.61	4.33	1.84	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.9)	3.99 ↓ (4)	1.92 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
27.7%

Draw
23.4%

Al Ain
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.9%

23.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

22.7%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Al Ain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Al Gharafa - Al Ain Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Al Ain will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Gharafa: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Rico S. (G) 28. Kechrida W. 32. Nani M. 42. Sano S. 21. Fadlalla S. 31. Sassi F. (C) 29. Diaz F. 24. Gunnarsson A. 7. Coman F. 8. Brahimi Y. 9. Joselu	17. Eisa K. (G) 11. Mohammed B. (C) 4. Cardoso F. 3. Kouadio K. 15. Erik 5. Park Yong-Woo 10. Kaku 19. Sanabria M. 20. Palacios M. 70. Traore A. 21. Rahimi S.
Substitutes
80. Al Ganehi A. 26. Boussafi R. 99. Hamed J. 16. Houssam Y. 12. Ismaeil H. 40. Lecomte-Addani A. (G) 18. N'Diaye K. (G) 19. Saaed Ahmed Y. 14. Sudarmanto A. 17. Surag A. 6. Traore D. 2. Yousif A.	18. Ali K. 72. Awad M. 13. Barman A. 1. Bu Senda M. (G) 23. Butti K. 27. Gassama S. 16. Hashemi K. 46. Komari D. 99. Loulendo J. 6. Nader Y. 24. Salomoni F. 7. Segovia M.
Coaches
Martins P.	Crespo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Joselu ⚽, Sano S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
47', Cardoso F. 🟨,
48', 2 - 0, Joselu ⚽, Sano S. (A),
54', Sano S. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Kaku (Pen),
61', Sanabria M. ↓, Gassama S. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Rahimi S. ⚽, Kaku (A),
69', Joselu 🟨,
72', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Yousif A. ↑,
72', Kechrida W. ↓, Al Ganehi A. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Sano S. ⚽, Coman F. (A),
76', 4 - 2, Brahimi Y. ⚽, Coman F. (A),
78', Nani M. 🟨,
82', Traore A. ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
82', Park Yong-Woo ↓, Nader Y. ↑,
84', Rahimi S. 🟨,
87', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
90', Erik ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
90+3', Coman F. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
90+10', Nader Y. 🟨,
90+11', Brahimi Y. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,

Preview

Al-Gharafa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Ain is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Al Ain have a series of home games.

Al Ain will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
26.09.24	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	4:2 ✺
22.09.24	Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.24	Esteghlal - Al-Gharafa	3:0 ✺
Qatar QSL
13.09.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal	1:1 ✺
Qatar QSL Cup
06.09.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLTL
- Al Ain FC
UAE Football League
26.09.24	Al Ain - Al Wasl	4:2 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
22.09.24	Al Ain - Auckland City	6:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.24	Al Ain - Al-Sadd	1:1 ✺
UAE League Cup
07.09.24	Al Ain - Ittihad Kalba	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
30.08.24	Al Bataeh - Al Ain	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTWT

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