Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Beirut Municipal Stadium (Beirut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Al-Ansar Beirut		Jwaya

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.70	5.25
	1.49	3.80	5.70	Watch
	1.51	3.81	5.29
	1.54	3.92	5.46	Watch
	1.49	3.75	5.20
	1.54	3.94	5.70
	1.50	3.85	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)	3.82 ↑ (3.49)	5.49 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ansar Beirut
59.8%

Draw
23.7%

Jwaya
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.8%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23.9%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ansar Beirut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Jwaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ansar Beirut than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jwaya than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Al Ansar Beirut - Jwaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Malick Tall E. ⚽, Khalfallah H. (A),
90', 2 - 0, Bader K. ⚽, Sisi (A),

Preview

Al-Ansar is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jwaya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Ansar is the team to beat.

We predict that Al-Ansar will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Ansar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Ansar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Ansar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Jwayya	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ansar Beirut
Lebanese Premier League
12.07.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Ahed	3:3 ✺
03.07.26	Tadamon Sour - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:3 ✺
29.06.26	Al-Mabarrah - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:7 ✺
24.06.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Jwaya	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Al-Ahed	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWWWW
- Jwaya SC
Lebanese Premier League
12.07.26	Jwaya - Nejmeh	0:0 ✺
02.07.26	Jwaya - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Jwaya - Al-Safa Beyrut	2:1 penalties ✺
24.06.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Jwaya	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Hekmeh - Jwaya	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
24.06.26	Al-Ansar Beirut - Jwaya	3:0
14.12.25	Jwaya - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:1

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