Match Info

ASIA: AFC Challenge League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sabah Al Salem Stadium (Kuwait)


	Al Arabi		Al-Seeb

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	1.57	3.6	6
	1.53	3.45	5.6
	1.63	3.47	6.15	Watch
	1.6	3.48	6.5
	1.57	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.89)	3.43 ↑ (2.87)	5.53 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Arabi
55.7%

Draw
27.3%

Al-Seeb
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

31.8%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

32.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Arabi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Arabi's performance.

Al-Seeb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Seeb might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Arabi than the current prediction. (-24.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Arabi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Seeb than the current prediction. (+20%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Seeb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Al Arabi - Al Seeb Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al Arabi will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Arabi: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Abdulghafoor S. (C) 5. Aboud J. 4. Khaled M. 2. Al Enezi H. 15. Al Qallaf H. 94. Al Aswad K. 8. Ashkanani H. 21. Porusaniei A. 77. Iwuala A. 17. Khalaf A. 11. John C.	18. Al Wahaibi M. (G) 13. Al Musalami M. 22. Al Ajmi H. 17. Al Busaidi A. 6. Al Khamisi A. 67. Al Yahmadi J. 27. Al Farsi E. (C) 12. Al Mushaifri A. 26. Al Alawi A. 9. Al Muqbali A. 7. Al Aghbari Z.
Substitutes
99. Al Aryan H. 25. Al Awady A. 14. Al Mershed K. 10. Al Salama B. 78. Al Shammari D. 3. Ammar Abdullah 26. Dashti A. (G) 41. Eisa A. F. M. M. 19. Karam A. 23. Khabba H. 31. Shebab A. (G) 7. Tareq Ali B.	96. Al Balushi B. (G) 42. Al Ezzi J. 10. Al Fazari O. 15. Al Hatmi M. 29. Al Hatmi S. 20. Al Malki O. 3. Al Mushaifri Y. 28. Al Raisi S. 87. Al Salti O. 19. Al Saqri N. 88. Kamara A. 23. Saleh M.
Coaches
Al Shatti N.	Durovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Al Musalami M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Porusaniei A. 🟨,
68', Porusaniei A. ↓, Al Mershed K. ↑,
68', Khalaf A. ↓, Khabba H. ↑,
70', Al Aghbari Z. ↓, Al Fazari O. ↑,
71', John C. 🟨,
77', Al Muqbali A. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
80', John C. ↓, Karam A. ↑,
80', Al Aswad K. ↓, Al Salama B. ↑,
87', Al Salama B. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Al Salama B. ⚽, Al Qallaf H. (A),
90+2', Al Salama B. 🟨,
90+4', Al Yahmadi J. ↓, Al Salti O. ↑,
90+4', Iwuala A. ↓, Al Awady A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Al Arabi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Al-Seeb is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Al-Seeb could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Al-Seeb have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Arabi Kuwait
Kuwaiti Premier League
27.02.25	Al Arabi - Al Naser	2:1 ✺
21.02.25	Al Yarmouk Meshref - Al Arabi	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Al Arabi - Al Kuwait	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Khaitan - Al Arabi	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Al-Fahaheel - Al Arabi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTTW
- Al-Seeb
Omani League
25.02.25	Al-Khaboora - Al-Seeb	1:1 ✺
Omani Sultan Cup
20.02.25	Al-Shabab Seeb - Al-Seeb	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Saham - Al-Seeb	0:1 ✺
Omani League
10.02.25	Sur Club - Al-Seeb	1:2 ✺
Omani Sultan Cup
06.02.25	Al-Seeb - Saham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLWWT

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