Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Jordan	Jordan Sport


	Al-Baqaa		Al-Ahli Amman

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.05	2.38
	2.83	3.32	2.33
	2.81	3.43	2.37	Watch
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.82	3.15	2.33	Watch
	2.8	3.14	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.56)	3.18 ↑ (3.03)	2.32 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Baqaa
32.4%

Draw
28.5%

Al-Ahli Amman
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.8%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Baqaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Al-Ahli Amman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Baqaa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Amman than the current prediction. (-5%)

Al Baqaa - Al Ahli Amman Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Al-Ahli Amman (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli Amman (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone Relegation)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Al-Baqaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Baqaa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Al Buqaa	3	1	1	1	1:4	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Baqaa
Jordan Premier League
20.01.26	Al-Wehdat - Al-Baqaa	4:2 ✺
Jordan Shield Cup
28.12.25	Al-Baqaa - Al-Jazeera	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Al-Baqaa - Al-Ramtha	1:2 ✺
04.12.25	Shabab Al-Ordon - Al-Baqaa	1:0 ✺
28.11.25	Al-Baqaa - Sama Al Sarhan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW
- Al-Ahli SC Amman
Jordan Shield Cup
27.12.25	Al-Ahli Amman - Sama Al Sarhan	2:1 ✺
Jordan Cup
22.12.25	Al-Ahli Amman - Al-Ramtha	0:1 ✺
Jordan Shield Cup
11.12.25	Al-Wehdat - Al-Ahli Amman	4:1 ✺
05.12.25	Al-Ahli Amman - Al-Hussein Irbid	3:0 ✺
28.11.25	Al Faisaly Amman - Al-Ahli Amman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Jordan Shield Cup
07.09.25	Al-Ahli Amman - Al-Baqaa	0:1
Jordan Premier League
07.08.25	Al-Ahli Amman - Al-Baqaa	2:3

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