Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Premier League 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	20:00	Fanseat


	Al-Budaiya		Al-Riffa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.3	3.8	1.52	Watch
	5.98	3.93	1.54
	5.11	3.94	1.57	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.53
	6.2	3.78	1.48	Watch
	5.66	3.75	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.63 ↓ (6.09)	3.8 ↓ (4.04)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Budaiya
16.2%

Draw
24%

Al-Riffa
59.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.1%

22.8%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

22.3%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Budaiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Al-Riffa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Budaiya than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riffa than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Al Budaiya - Al Riffa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Rodrigo Yuri ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90+7', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+10', 🟥,
90+11', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Budaiya won 0.

Al-Budaiya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Riffa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Al-Budaiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Al-Riffa has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Riffa is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Al-Budaiya won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 8:35. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Budaiya won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Riffa	6	4	2	0	15:4	11	14

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Riffa - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.14%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Budaiya Club
Bahraini Premier League
14.02.26	Bahrain SC - Al-Budaiya	0:3 ✺
Bahraini Kings Cup
05.02.26	Al-Budaiya - Al-Ahli Manama	0:1 penalties ✺
Bahraini Premier League
26.01.26	Al-Budaiya - Malkiya	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Al-Shabab Manama - Al-Budaiya	1:3 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Ahli Manama - Al-Budaiya	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWW
- Al-Riffa SC
Bahraini Premier League
07.02.26	Al-Riffa - Al-Hidd	0:3 ✺
Bahraini Kings Cup
02.02.26	Manama Club - Al-Riffa	2:3 penalties ✺
Bahraini Premier League
28.01.26	Sitra - Al-Riffa	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Al-Najma - Al-Riffa	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Bahrain SC - Al-Riffa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bahraini Premier League
04.10.25	Al-Riffa - Al-Budaiya	3:0
Bahraini Cup
18.01.24	Al-Budaiya - Al-Riffa	2:2
Bahraini Premier League
08.05.23	Al-Riffa - Al-Budaiya	7:0
01.12.22	Al-Budaiya - Al-Riffa	0:2
Bahraini Cup
23.09.22	Al-Riffa - Al-Budaiya	2:1
31.01.22	Al-Budaiya - Al-Riffa	3:2
Bahraini Premier League
21.01.22	Al-Riffa - Al-Budaiya	1:0

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