Match Info

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: Division 1 - Round 28

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium (Madinat Zayed)


	Al Dhafra		Dubai City

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.8	7
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.25	5	7.5
	1.33	5.06	7.6
	1.32	5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	4.97 ↑ (4.66)	7.36 ↓ (8.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Dhafra
69.5%

Draw
18.2%

Dubai City
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

19.8%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

13.2%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Dhafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Dubai City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (-23.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Dhafra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubai City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Jassim S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
54', 2 - 0, Henrique V. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Rashidov S. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Fortes C. ⚽,
74', 4 - 1, Amsimeku L. ⚽,
88', 4 - 2, Henrique W. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Al Dhafra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dubai City has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al Dhafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Al Dhafra is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Al Dhafra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Dhafra
UAE Division 1
14.04.24	Al Dhaid - Al Dhafra	3:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dibba Al-Hisn - Al Dhafra	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Al Dhafra - Dibba Al Fujairah	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Al Rams - Al Dhafra	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Al Dhafra - Al-Fujairah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWW
- Dubai City FC
UAE Division 1
15.04.24	Dubai City - Gulf Heroes	2:4 ✺
05.04.24	Al Dhaid - Dubai City	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Gulf United - Dubai City	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Dubai City - Al Urooba	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Al-Taawon - Dubai City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Division 1
10.12.23	Dubai City - Al Dhafra	0:2

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