Match Info

UAE League - Round 15

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium (Madinat Zayed)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	HOY TV
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv
World	Triller TV+


	Al Dhafra		Khor Fakkan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.6
	2.3	3.5	2.68	Watch
	2.49	3.62	2.59
	2.32	3.73	2.7	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	2.46	3.62	2.59	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.6)	3.54 ↓ (3.61)	2.62 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Dhafra
39%

Draw
26%

Khor Fakkan
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

25.7%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

25.2%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Dhafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Khor Fakkan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khor Fakkan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Dhafra - Khor Fakkan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Al Dhafra (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Dhafra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Al Sayed A. (G) 3. Serafim 20. Amesimeku L. 13. Rabja M. 6. Noumonvi E. 10. Ibrahim K. (C) 9. Jobson 21. Djooh R. 11. El Khaloui M. 33. El Berkaoui K. 99. Marcelinho	1. Al Hosani A. (C) 11. Jshak A. 3. Kayque Campos 74. El Refaey A. 30. Nakach A. 16. Pavlov P. 40. Al Naqbi A. 5. Camara A. 13. Barman A. 10. Boa Morte A. 9. Tissoudali T.
Substitutes
16. Al Ameri Z. 5. Al Harbi M. 23. Al Hosani I. 15. Al Karbi A. 18. Ayman Y. 7. Gudmundsson J. 8. Mohammed Z. 4. Saleh F. 17. Soussi A. 30. Sultan A. (G) 22. Yaslam R.	23. Ahmed S. 2. Al Ameri Y. 48. Al Hosani J. (G) 4. Ali Shakir M. 90. Diallo A. 28. Humaid H. 7. Lourency 79. N'Guessan J. 34. Seymor S. 95. Suhail R. (G)
Coaches
Petrovic Z.	Krznar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Boa Morte A. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Tissoudali T. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Amesimeku L. ↓, Al Karbi A. ↑,
36', 1 - 2, El Berkaoui K. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Boa Morte A. 🟨,
45', Serafim 🟨,
45+4', Al Naqbi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Kayque Campos 🟨,
63', Ibrahim K. ↓, Yaslam R. ↑,
63', Marcelinho ↓, Soussi A. ↑,
66', Barman A. 🟨,
69', Al Naqbi A. ↓, N'Guessan J. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Jobson (Penalty Awarded),
70', Camara A. ↓, Lourency ↑,
81', Yaslam R. 🟨,
83', Noumonvi E. 🟨,
84', 2 - 3, Lourency (Penalty Awarded),
86', Tissoudali T. ↓, Diallo A. ↑,
86', Boa Morte A. ↓, Seymor S. ↑,
86', Barman A. ↓, Humaid H. ↑,
90+2', Djooh R. ↓, Al Ameri Z. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Dhafra won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Al Dhafra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al Dhafra won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Dhafra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Khorfakkan	5	1	1	3	5:12	-7	4
12	Al Dhafra	5	1	0	4	3:9	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Dhafra
UAE Football League
28.01.26	Al Dhafra - Al-Sharjah	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Ajman Club - Al Dhafra	1:1 ✺
08.01.26	Al Dhafra - Al Ain	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra	2:3 ✺
29.12.25	Al Dhafra - Bani Yas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTLWL
- Khor Fakkan FC
UAE Presidents Cup
01.02.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Khor Fakkan	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
28.01.26	Al Wasl - Khor Fakkan	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	0:0 ✺
08.01.26	Dibba Al Fujairah - Khor Fakkan	1:0 ✺
02.01.26	Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
02.01.26	Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra	2:3
18.04.23	Al Dhafra - Khor Fakkan	1:3
11.11.22	Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra	4:3
05.03.22	Al Dhafra - Khor Fakkan	4:1
UAE League Cup
04.12.21	Al Dhafra - Khor Fakkan	1:2
UAE Football League
24.09.21	Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra	3:0
07.03.21	Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra	5:1

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