Match Info

UAE League - Round 13

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Saqr bin Mohammad al Qassimi Stadium (Khor Fakkan)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 2, ADtv
World	Triller TV+


	Khor Fakkan		Al-Nasr

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	3.6	2.2	Watch
	2.79	3.85	2.22	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.1
	3.03	3.66	2.14	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.95)	3.65 (3.65)	2.15 (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khor Fakkan
32%

Draw
25.2%

Al-Nasr
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25.4%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

24.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khor Fakkan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khor Fakkan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Khor Fakkan - Al Nasr Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Nasr (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Hosani A. (C) 11. Jshak A. 74. El Refaey A. 30. Nakach A. 3. Kayque Campos 18. Won Du-Jae 13. Barman A. 16. Pavlov P. 28. Humaid H. 7. Lourency 9. Tissoudali T.	12. Shambih A. (G) 24. Al Zaabi Z. 4. Glauber 52. Felipe Motta 15. Saatci S. 17. Azarkan M. 6. Mahdi H. 19. Milivojevic L. (C) 43. Mensah B. 13. Mierez R. 10. Ghayedi M.
Substitutes
23. Ahmed S. 2. Al Ameri Y. 48. Al Hosani J. (G) 17. Al Zaabi S. 15. Ortega B. 34. Seymor S. 4. Shaker M. 95. Suhail R. (G)	8. Abdulbasit M. 25. Abdulrahman O. (G) 60. Al Shammari A. R. 80. Al Somhi S. 40. Al Tamimi A. (G) 23. Doumbia C. 21. Idrees A. 38. Ndiaye M. 75. Osama Z. 55. Petrovic D. 9. Santos J. 2. Sultan S.
Coaches
Al Abdooli H.	Jokanovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Mierez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Milivojevic L. ↓, Abdulbasit M. ↑,
46', Mensah B. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
63', Azarkan M. ↓, Al Somhi S. ↑,
68', Abdulbasit M. 🟨,
68', Mahdi H. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
68', Felipe Motta ↓, Petrovic D. ↑,
71', Humaid H. ↓, Al Ameri Y. ↑,
73', Barman A. 🟨,
76', Barman A. ↓, Seymor S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khor Fakkan won 1.

Recent form of Khor Fakkan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Nasr is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Al-Nasr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Khor Fakkan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Khor Fakkan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Al Nasr	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
11	Khorfakkan	5	1	1	3	5:12	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khor Fakkan FC
UAE Football League
08.01.26	Dibba Al Fujairah - Khor Fakkan	1:0 ✺
02.01.26	Khor Fakkan - Al Dhafra	2:3 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Wahda - Khor Fakkan	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bani Yas - Khor Fakkan	0:3 ✺
UAE League Cup
30.11.25	Khor Fakkan - Al-Wahda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- Al-Nasr SC
UAE Football League
06.01.26	Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah	2:4 ✺
02.01.26	Bani Yas - Al-Nasr	1:2 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Nasr - Al Ain	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Al Bataeh - Al-Nasr	2:3 ✺
UAE League Cup
13.12.25	Al Ain - Al-Nasr	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UAE Football League
03.05.25	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	3:3
15.12.24	Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan	3:1
13.05.24	Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan	2:1
UAE Presidents Cup
17.02.24	Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan	1:0
UAE Football League
09.12.23	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	3:1
10.02.23	Al-Nasr - Khor Fakkan	1:0
15.09.22	Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr	0:0

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