Match Info

UAE League - Round 6

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium (Madinat Zayed)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1


	Al Dhafra		United FC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.30	2.25
	2.72	3.35	2.25	Watch
	2.79	3.72	2.41
	2.67	3.63	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.3
	2.52	3.46	2.31	Watch
	2.7	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.32)	3.5 ↓ (3.71)	2.31 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Dhafra
34.3%

Draw
26.1%

United FC
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

25%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Dhafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Dhafra's form might have worsened.

United FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Dhafra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United FC than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for United FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Dhafra - United FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Al Sayed A. (G) 15. Al Karbi A. (C) 3. Komari D. 33. Samir Caetano 6. Noumonvi E. 16. Ibrahim M. 88. Mendy D. 21. Djooh R. 11. El Khaloui M. 14. Bawazir K. 9. Kaba S.	26. Lekovic S. (G) 19. Yahya H. 15. Puric A. 3. Jamal O. (C) 52. Juma H. 25. Name M. 80. Babicka S. 5. Karimi A. 23. Naafo J. 10. Semedo W. 49. Maouhoub E.
Substitutes
5. Al Harbi M. 17. Al Houti E. (G) 20. Amesimeku L. 99. Arielson 77. Ben Fajria A. 95. El Berkaoui K. 7. Marcelinho 8. Mohammed Z. 80. Rodriguinho 4. Serafim 22. Yaslam R. 1. Zayid M. S. (G)	77. Al Ahbabi B. 88. Al Fardan H. 81. Dahoud M. 8. Diakite B. 22. Ghulam M. 7. Gueye P. 44. Khalid A. 73. Moraes M. 29. Nana C. 13. Noor I. (G) 9. Seferovic H. 6. Suroor M.
Coaches
Carteron P.	Pirlo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
32', Jamal O. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Mendy D. (Penalty Awarded),
40', 1 - 1, Semedo W. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 2 - 1, Kaba S. ⚽, Samir Caetano (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Juma H. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
46', Name M. ↓, Dahoud M. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Kaba S. ⚽, Ibrahim M. (A),
56', Noumonvi E. 🟨,
56', Naafo J. ↓, Seferovic H. ↑,
62', Bawazir K. ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Komari D. ⚽, Kaba S. (A),
72', Semedo W. ↓, Nana C. ↑,
82', Kaba S. ↓, El Berkaoui K. ↑,
82', Ibrahim M. ↓, Arielson ↑,
90+1', 5 - 1, Arielson ⚽, Noumonvi E. (A),
90+4', Noumonvi E. ↓, Serafim ↑,
90+4', El Khaloui M. ↓, Ben Fajria A. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 12th and 8th).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

United FC could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Al Dhafra has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Al Dhafra against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	United FC	6	2	1	3	13:18	-5	7
9	Al Dhafra	6	2	0	4	8:10	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Dhafra
UAE League Cup
09.10.26	Al-Wahda - Al Dhafra	2:0 ✺
01.10.26	Al-Sharjah - Al Dhafra	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Al Dhafra - Bani Yas	1:3 ✺
UAE Football League
11.09.26	Hatta - Al Dhafra	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Al Dhafra - Al-Wahda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- United FC UAE
UAE League Cup
08.10.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - United FC	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	United FC - Hatta	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Al-Nasr - United FC	3:1 ✺
UAE Football League
10.09.26	United FC - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Al-Sharjah - United FC	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

UAE Division 1
10.05.25	Al Dhafra - United FC	2:1
11.01.25	United FC - Al Dhafra	3:0
UAE Presidents Cup
27.09.24	Al Dhafra - United FC	1:0
UAE Division 1
27.04.24	United FC - Al Dhafra	1:3
16.12.23	Al Dhafra - United FC	1:1

Al Dhafra - United FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide