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Current Win Probability
Al-Diriyah 67.1%
Draw 19.3%
Abha 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
23.9%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
23.2%
20.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Diriyah's performance.
Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Abha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Diriyah that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Abha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Diriyah - Abha Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - under (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Vasilj N. (G) 2. Al Faraj A. 99. Mbemba Ch. 19. Djimsiti B. 16. Al Sibyani H. K. A. 88. Al Malki A. 5. Gueye I. (C) 20. Millot E. 17. Diandy C. 29. Nunez D. 10. Boulbina A.
16. Leon D. (G) 39. Al-Zaid M. 3. Gaari J. 37. Hindi A. 12. Al Shamrani K. 17. Darisi A. 7. Al Ghamdi F. 19. Al Fahad A. (C) 10. Fekir N. 14. N'Koudou G. 44. Batshuayi M.
Substitutes
33. Abdullah W. (G) 78. Al Asiri K. 6. Al Farhan S. 75. Al Nemer M. 52. Al Qahtani H. 11. Bahebri H. 21. Hameran M. 87. Lajami Q. 12. Wadi T.
8. Al Daajani N. 66. Al Gulaymish N. 80. Al Johani S. 28. Al Mutairi B. 20. Al Qahtani K. 4. Al Sayyali B. 9. Boumedmed K. 11. Gory A. 26. Malayekah M. (G)
Coaches
Lage B.
Buric D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Al Malki A. 🟨,
24', Gaari J. 🟨,
39', Fekir N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Al Malki A. ↓, Al Farhan S. ↑,
46', Diandy C. ↓, Bahebri H. ↑,
67', N'Koudou G. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
71', Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↓, Hameran M. ↑,
74', Fekir N. ↓, Al Daajani N. ↑,
74', Al Shamrani K. ↓, Al Johani S. ↑,
81', Boulbina A. ↓, Al Nemer M. ↑,
87', Gueye I. ↓, Al Qahtani H. ↑,
89', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Qahtani K. ↑,
90', Al Faraj A. 🟨,
90', Hindi A. 🟨,
90+4', Al Nemer M. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
Al-Diriyah is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Abha is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Al-Diriyah is the clear favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Diriyah won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Al-Diriyah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Saudi-arabia
Usa
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Vasilj N. (G) 
Al Faraj A. 
Mbemba Ch. 
Djimsiti B. 
Gueye I. (C) 
Millot E. 
Nunez D. 
Boulbina A. 
Leon D. (G) 
Gaari J. 
N'Koudou G. 
Batshuayi M. 
Lage B. 
Buric D. 
