Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 8

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP
Albania	20:00	SuperSport 5
Angola	19:00	Z Sports 1
Asia	—	SPOTV Asia
Australia	05:00	Fox Sports MORE
Austria	20:00	DAZN
Brazil	15:00	Canal GOAT, Xsports
Bulgaria	21:00	Max Sport 1
Cambodia	01:00	MyTV
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub 7
Czech Republic	20:00	Strike, Strike
France	20:00	DAZN France
Germany	20:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	20:00	TV2 Play Premium
India	23:30	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	01:00	SPOTV, Vidio
Kazakhstan	00:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	21:00	Gotv
Malaysia	02:00	Astro Go
Mexico	12:00	FOX One
Mongolia	02:00	SPOTV
Nigeria	19:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
Philippines	02:00	SPOTV
Poland	20:00	Polsat Sport 3
Romania	21:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Saudi Arabia	21:00	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Slovenia	20:00	SportKlub 6
South Africa	20:00	SupeSport ESPN
South Korea	03:00	SPOTV, SPOTV Now
Spain	20:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	20:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	01:00	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	21:00	HT Spor
Ukraine	21:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	14:00	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus
Vietnam	01:00	SPOTV
International	18:00	OneFootball TV


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Al-Diriyah

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.5	7.5
	1.43	4.80	6.00
	1.3	5.35	7.2
	1.34	6.23	7.43
	1.34	5.8	6.9	Watch
	1.31	6.1	6.5
	1.31	5.85	7.28
	1.33	5.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.47)	5.65 ↑ (4.94)	7 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
70.2%

Draw
16.5%

Al-Diriyah
13.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.5%

18.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

18.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nassr Riyadh's performance.

Al-Diriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nassr Riyadh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Al Diriyah Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Al-Diriyah (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Al Nassr Riyadh (1.44) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Diriyah (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 12. Boushal N. 3. Simakan M. 26. Martinez I. 70. Aman A. 21. Coman K. 17. Al Khaibari A. 11. Samu Costa 10. Mane S. 79. Joao Felix 7. Ronaldo C. (C)	33. Abdullah W. (C) 2. Al Faraj A. 19. Djimsiti B. 87. Lajami Q. 99. Mbemba Ch. 16. Al Sibyani H. K. A. 10. Boulbina A. 5. Gueye I. 20. Millot E. 29. Nunez D. 14. Rodriguez O.
Substitutes
22. Al-Alwan A. (G) 9. Al Hamdan A. 14. Al Najei S. 6. Al Nasser S. 4. Al Sharari N. 60. Haqawi S. 50. Qasheesh M. 94. Sufyani A. 23. Yahya A.	78. Al Asiri K. 6. Al Farhan S. 75. Al Nemer M. 52. Al Qahtani H. 4. Al Rubaie S. 34. Al Sibyani M. (G) 25. Chelfi L. 21. Dheban M. 12. Wadi T.
Coaches
Postecoglou A.	Lage B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ronaldo C. ⚽,
28', Mbemba Ch. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Samu Costa ⚽, Joao Felix (A),
45+2', Al Faraj A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', Al Faraj A. ↓, Dheban M. ↑,
68', Al Sibyani H. K. A. ↓, Chelfi L. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Coman K. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
78', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Al Najei S. ↑,
78', Joao Felix ↓, Al Hamdan A. ↑,
78', Coman K. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
83', Rodriguez O. ↓, Wadi T. ↑,
84', Boulbina A. ↓, Al Qahtani H. ↑,
84', Gueye I. ↓, Al Nemer M. ↑,
84', Aman A. ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - AFC Champions League League phase and 8th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Al-Nassr holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Al-Nassr has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Nassr	10	8	1	1	23:8	15	25
8	Al Diriyah	11	4	3	4	9:11	-2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Nassr Riyadh - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.49%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Al Ain - Al-Nassr Riyadh	4:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
12.09.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Abha	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTWLW
- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Professional League
13.09.26	Al-Diriyah - Abha	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Al Fateh - Al-Diriyah	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Qadisiya	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Diriyah	0:3 ✺
26.08.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Kholood	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi King Cup
18.08.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:4

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