Match Info

Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Diriyah		Al Raed

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.35	5.15
	1.49	4.5	5.79
	1.5	4.31	5.12	Watch
	1.44	4	5
	1.58	4.74	4.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	4.38 ↓ (4.42)	5.1 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Diriyah
61.2%

Draw
20.9%

Al Raed
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

20.7%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

20.2%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Diriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Al Diriyah - Al Raed Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Diriyah will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Al Raed will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Abdullah W. (C) 44. Al Zaaqi N. 87. Subayt A. 15. Colley O. 21. Hameran M. 52. Al Qahtani H. 17. Diandy C. 88. Al Malki A. 14. Rodriguez O. 7. Marega M. 9. Laborde G.	22. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 32. Al Dossary M. 66. Whaeshi B. 21. Gonzalez O. (C) 13. Al Yousif A. 4. Hazazi A. 24. Al Salouli S. 15. Shami A. 8. Narvaez J. 26. Bouzok Y. 9. Gano Z.
Substitutes
78. Al Asiri K. 10. Al Dosari A. 2. Al Faraj A. 5. Al Farhan S. 75. Al Nemer M. 23. Al Otaibi N. (G) 6. Al Qarni I. 27. Al Rahmani S. 12. Wadi T.	25. Abdulrazaq F. 12. Al-Balawi A. 88. Al Otaibi M. (G) 6. Al Shaikhi A. 11. Al Shanqiti W. 2. Al Shuqayran T. 42. Al Zahrani A. 45. Sunbul Y. 10. Yoda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Hazazi A. 🟨,
20', Colley O. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Al Salouli S. ⚽, Al Dossary M. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Bouzok Y. ⚽, Gano Z. (A),
45+1', Rodriguez O. ↓, Al Nemer M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Subayt A. ↓, Al Faraj A. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Gano Z. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
60', Al Malki A. ↓, Al Rahmani S. ↑,
70', Shami A. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
72', Al Yousif A. 🟨,
76', Narvaez J. 🟨,
78', Colley O. ↓, Al Farhan S. ↑,
81', Al Salouli S. ↓, Al Shaikhi A. ↑,
82', Sunbul Y. 🟨,
83', 1 - 3, Al Rahmani S. ⚽, Al Farhan S. (A),
87', Gano Z. ↓, Al Shanqiti W. ↑,
90+4', Al Farhan S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Al-Diriyah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Diriyah is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Diriyah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Al Raed	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1
13.04.26	Al-Zulfi - Al-Diriyah	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Jabalain	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Diriyah	5:1 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Batin	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Al-Faisaly - Al-Diriyah	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLWT
- Al Raed
Saudi Division 1
15.04.26	Al Raed - Al-Orobah	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Jeddah - Al Raed	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Raed	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Al Raed - Al-Jabalain	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Al-Anwar - Al Raed	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
26.12.25	Al Raed - Al-Diriyah	2:3

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