Match Info

Division 1 - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Diriyah		Al-Ula

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.53	3.13
	2.09	3.46	3.08	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.18	3.63	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.03)	3.43 ↓ (3.57)	3.05 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Al-Diriyah
43%

Draw
26.8%

Al-Ula
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

26.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Diriyah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-2%)

Al Diriyah - Al Ula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Abdullah W. (C) 2. Al Faraj A. 87. Subayt A. 15. Colley O. 78. Al Asiri K. 17. Diandy C. 88. Al Malki A. 52. Al Qahtani H. 11. N'Koudou G. 9. Laborde G. 7. Marega M.	33. Al Owais M. (C) 14. Jumayah F. 5. Danilo Barbosa 24. Al Dohaim A. 27. Al Shamrani H. 6. Al Hussain A. 7. Al Khulaif A. 96. Michael 10. Guanca C. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 9. Koulouris E.
Substitutes
10. Al Dosari A. 5. Al Farhan S. 75. Al Nemer M. 23. Al Otaibi N. (G) 6. Al Qarni I. 27. Al Rahmani S. 44. Al Zaaqi N. 82. Al Zarie H. 12. Wadi T.	77. Adam A. 45. Al Asmari F. 1. Al Jubaya A. (G) 88. Al Nabit S. 66. Al Ruwaili K. 12. Al Shamrani K. 2. Al Zubaidi A. 4. Haqawi Y. 3. Razzaq A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Guanca C. ⚽, Al Khulaif A. (A),
42', Guanca C. 🟨,
45+5', Al Qahtani H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Al Shamrani H. 🟨,
52', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Zubaidi A. ↑,
57', Jumayah F. 🟨,
65', Laborde G. (Penalty Awarded),
65', 1 - 1, Al Hussain A. (Own goal),
67', Al Qahtani H. ↓, Al Farhan S. ↑,
67', Al Asiri K. ↓, Al Zarie H. ↑,
71', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Razzaq A. ↑,
71', Al Sulaiheem A. ↓, Haqawi Y. ↑,
74', Al Malki A. ↓, Al Qarni I. ↑,
74', Al Farhan S. 🟥,
82', Al Hussain A. ↓, Adam A. ↑,
90', Al Faraj A. 🟨,
90+4', Adam A. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
94', 2 - 1, Laborde G. ⚽, Marega M. (A),
97', Danilo Barbosa 🟨,
104', Marega M. 🟨,
105', Jumayah F. ↓, Al Shamrani K. ↑,
105', Haqawi Y. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
114', Marega M. ↓, Al Zaaqi N. ↑,
114', N'Koudou G. ↓, Al Dosari A. ↑,
120+2', Al Nabit S. 🟨,
120+2', Laborde G. ↓, Al Nemer M. ↑,

Preview

Al-Diriyah is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Ula is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Diriyah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Diriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Diriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ula	5	5	0	0	10:1	9	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Diriyah
Saudi Division 1
18.05.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Jabalain	3:0 ✺
14.05.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Bukayriyah	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Al-Anwar - Al-Diriyah	4:2 ✺
01.05.26	Al-Diriyah - Abha	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Al Jubail - Al-Diriyah	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW
- Al-Ula FC
Saudi Division 1
18.05.26	Al-Ula - Al-Orobah	2:1 ET ✺
14.05.26	Al-Ula - Al-Zulfi	4:2 ✺
09.05.26	Al Jubail - Al-Ula	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Al-Ula - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Al-Anwar - Al-Ula	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
15.02.26	Al-Diriyah - Al-Ula	1:3
20.10.25	Al-Ula - Al-Diriyah	2:1

Upcoming Matches