Match Info

SAUDI ARABIA: SAUDI PROFESSIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Dammam)


	Al-Ettifaq Dammam		Al-Taee

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	6
	1.45	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.53	6.52
	1.4	3.9	6.5
	1.44	4.3	6.65
	1.43	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.74)	4.21 ↑ (3.52)	6.36 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
63.7%

Draw
21.8%

Al-Taee
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ettifaq Dammam's performance.

Al-Taee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Taee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ettifaq Dammam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taee than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Taee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.8%	0%	3.2%

Al Ettifaq Dammam - Al Taee Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Ettifaq Dammam will win (30 of 31 users predict this - 96.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.55% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Victor P. (G) 61. Al Otaibi R. 4. Hendry J. 70. Khateeb A. A. 13. Al Shamrani H. 25. Wijnaldum G. 10. Henderson J. 11. Hazzazi A. 19. Gray D. 9. Dembele M. 99. Quaison R.	1. Braga V. (G) 88. Alnakhli I. 27. Bauer R. 4. Sultan A. 12. Qasim H. 8. Abdullah T. 30. Semedo A. 11. Cordea A. 10. Misidjan V. 43. Mensah B. 9. Dugandzic M.
Substitutes
17. Al Alaeli M. 21. Al Bukhari A. (G) 43. Aldosary A. 8. Al Ghamdi H. 7. Al Kuwaykibi M. 18. Mahzari M. 35. Nasser Al Dosari A. K. 30. Saeed Al Saad M. 29. Yousef M.	77. Al Amri H. 44. Al Baqaawi M. (G) 99. Al Hazzaa H. 23. Al Quamiri N. 18. Al Qunaian M. 45. Asiri A. 26. Bajandouh J. 3. Majrashi A. 70. Shamlan R.
Coaches
Gerrard S.	Rezic K.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Ettifaq won 1.

Al-Ettifaq is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Taee is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Al-Ettifaq is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Ettifaq won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Ettifaq won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
16.09.23	Abha - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Damac	3:1 ✺
28.08.23	Al-Hilal - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:0 ✺
24.08.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Khaleej	1:1 ✺
18.08.23	Al Hazem - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLTW
- Al-Taee
Saudi Professional League
16.09.23	Al Hazem - Al-Taee	1:1 ✺
01.09.23	Al-Taee - Abha	1:0 ✺
29.08.23	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Taee	2:0 ✺
24.08.23	Al-Taee - Al-Wahda Mecca	0:3 ✺
19.08.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Taee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
10.02.23	Al-Taee - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:0
26.08.22	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taee	1:2
19.02.22	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taee	0:1
23.09.21	Al-Taee - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:2
Saudi King Cup
06.12.19	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taee	2:1
Saudi Division 1
18.12.15	Al-Taee - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:0
17.03.15	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taee	4:1

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