Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 24

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Al-Hazem Club Stadium (Ar Rass)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Al Hazem		Al-Ettifaq Dammam

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.52	3.4	2.58
	2.61	3.62	2.56
	2.32	3.74	2.74	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.45
	2.47	3.34	2.46
	2.85	3.5	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.85)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	2.51 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al Hazem
36.4%

Draw
26.9%

Al-Ettifaq Dammam
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.3%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

25.1%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Hazem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Hazem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ettifaq Dammam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Al Hazem - Al Ettifaq Dammam Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al Hazem will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ettifaq (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zaied I. (G) 2. Al Rashid S. 4. Tanker S. 34. Al Dakheel A. (C) 70. Al Shamrani A. 37. Oumarou Y. 10. Martins F. 24. Bah A. 26. Al Dhuwayhi A. 7. Al Shammari Y. 19. Al Habashi N.	1. Rodak M. (G) 61. Al Otaibi R. 4. Hendry J. 3. Madu A. 37. Hindi A. 8. Wijnaldum G. (C) 11. Duda O. 7. Ali M. 5. Calvo F. 19. Kouka 17. Al Ghannam K.
Substitutes
33. Al Ghamdi M. (G) 15. Al Khaibary A. 13. Al Shanqiti A. 5. Al Yami M. 30. Awaji A. 3. Boutouil A. 99. Hausawi F. 90. Idris H. 32. Rosier L.	29. Al Ghamdi Z. 27. Al Musallam H. 58. Al Shammari Y. 12. Dahal A. 71. Gluscevic M. 22. Hawswi (G) 24. Jalal Al Salem 15. Nkota M. 21. Sahhari A.
Coaches
Kadri J.	Al Shehri S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Kouka ⚽,
15', Hindi A. 🟥,
17', 1 - 1, Al Shammari Y. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Al Dhuwayhi A. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Martins F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Kouka ↓, Nkota M. ↑,
73', Tanker S. 🟨,
82', 3 - 1, Bah A. ⚽, Martins F. (A),
83', Al Otaibi R. ↓, Gluscevic M. ↑,
87', Al Shamrani A. ↓, Al Shanqiti A. ↑,
87', Al Dhuwayhi A. ↓, Awaji A. ↑,
90', Wijnaldum G. ↓, Jalal Al Salem ↑,
90+2', Martins F. ↓, Idris H. ↑,
90+2', Al Shammari Y. ↓, Al Yami M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Hazem won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Al-Ettifaq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Al Hazem won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al Hazem won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Al Ettifaq	8	3	3	2	12:12	0	12
10	Al Hazem	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al Hazem
Saudi Professional League
24.02.26	Al Hazem - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Hazem	4:0 ✺
12.02.26	Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Hazem	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Al Fateh - Al Hazem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWLT
- Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League
23.02.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	4:0 ✺
19.02.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh	4:3 ✺
13.02.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Damac	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
31.10.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Hazem	2:2
28.12.23	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Hazem	1:1
18.08.23	Al Hazem - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:2
21.05.22	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Hazem	5:2
21.11.21	Al Hazem - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:3
13.02.20	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Hazem	2:3
15.09.19	Al Hazem - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	0:6

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