Match Info

Division 1 - Round 14

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Al Majma'ah Sports City (Al Majma'ah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Faisaly		Al Raed

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.1	2.92
	2.35	3.2	2.82	Watch
	2.38	2.9	2.8
	2.3	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.36	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.45)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)	2.89 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Faisaly
39%

Draw
29.6%

Al Raed
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.8%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Al Faisaly - Al Raed Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Faisaly will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Gabous S. (G) 99. Al Mhemaid A. 17. Al Sabeat A. 4. Raphael Silva 3. Doshy M. 70. Jahfali M. 77. Al Shereaf A. 5. Eduardo Henrique 12. Morato 27. Al Rahmani S. 90. Luvannor	88. Al Otaibi M. (G) 24. Al Salouli S. 21. Gonzalez O. 4. Hazazi A. 13. Al Yousif A. 5. Tweh S. 8. Narvaez J. 7. Al Shaikh M. 15. Shami A. 26. Bouzok Y. 11. Al Shanqiti W.
Substitutes
28. Al Fuhaid M. 73. Al Harbi H. 14. Al Mogren A. 7. Al Nakhli M. 29. Al Sahli A. 50. Al Shanqiti M. 2. Barnawi Y. 6. Issa J. 21. Nassief A. (G)	25. Abdulrazaq F. 12. Al-Balawi A. 74. Al Khaibari M. (G) 48. Al-Marwani S. 22. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 6. Al Shaikhi A. 2. Al Shuqayran T. 66. Whaeshi B. 10. Yoda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Luvannor ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Luvannor ⚽, Al Rahmani S. (A),
29', Raphael Silva 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Tweh S. ⚽, Gonzalez O. (A),
37', Jahfali M. ↓, Al Harbi H. ↑,
38', 2 - 2, Al Salouli S. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
45', Al Salouli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 3 - 2, Morato ⚽,
61', 4 - 2, Eduardo Henrique (Penalty Awarded),
63', Morato 🟨,
66', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Barnawi Y. ↑,
66', Al Shereaf A. ↓, Issa J. ↑,
70', Shami A. ↓, Yoda K. ↑,
70', Al Yousif A. ↓, Abdulrazaq F. ↑,
72', Gabous S. 🟨,
74', Al Rahmani S. 🟨,
86', Issa J. ↓, Al Fuhaid M. ↑,
87', Al Shaikh M. ↓, Al Shaikhi A. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 3, Al Shanqiti W. ⚽,
90+8', 5 - 3, Al Nakhli M. ⚽, Luvannor (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 1.

Al-Faisaly is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al Raed has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Faisaly is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Al-Faisaly won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Faisaly won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Al Raed	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Faisaly - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Al Raed - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.53%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Faisaly
Saudi Division 1
26.12.25	Al-Faisaly - Jeddah	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Al-Taee - Al-Faisaly	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Orobah	0:0 ✺
28.11.25	Al Jubail - Al-Faisaly	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Diriyah - Al-Faisaly	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTWT
- Al Raed
Saudi Division 1
26.12.25	Al Raed - Al-Diriyah	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Orobah - Al Raed	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Al Raed - Jeddah	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Al Raed - Al-Wahda Mecca	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Al-Jabalain - Al Raed	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
18.02.22	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	0:0
25.09.21	Al Raed - Al-Faisaly	1:1
10.03.21	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	0:1
11.12.20	Al Raed - Al-Faisaly	0:2
04.09.20	Al Raed - Al-Faisaly	2:1
11.01.20	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	0:1
23.02.19	Al Raed - Al-Faisaly	0:3

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